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- Xref: sparky sci.energy:7223 talk.environment:5728
- Path: sparky!uunet!pipex!warwick!uknet!edcastle!aisb!aisb!jamesh
- From: jamesh@aisb.ed.ac.uk (James Hammerton)
- Newsgroups: sci.energy,talk.environment
- Subject: Re: Greens LOVE Poverty
- Keywords: energy environment oil press
- Message-ID: <1993Jan25.134943.24421@aisb.ed.ac.uk>
- Date: 25 Jan 93 13:49:43 GMT
- References: <Greenpeace.19Jan1993.0937@naughty-peahen> <Greenpeace.19Jan1993.2006@naughty-peahen> <1993Jan21.104647@roper.mc.ti.com> <C1B08K.CAK@quake.sylmar.ca.us>
- Sender: news@aisb.ed.ac.uk (Network News Administrator)
- Reply-To: jamesh@aisb.ed.ac.uk (James Hammerton)
- Organization: Dept AI, Edinburgh University, Scotland
- Lines: 103
-
- In article <C1B08K.CAK@quake.sylmar.ca.us> brian@quake.sylmar.ca.us (Brian K. Yoder) writes:
- >In article <1993Jan21.104647@roper.mc.ti.com> a722756@roper.mc.ti.com (W. Donald Rolph) writes:
- >>
- >>I find a great deal of discomfort with some hypotheses required to support this
- >>proposal:
- >
- >> 1) 96 mpg cars for the general case strike me as highly unrealistic
- >
- >> 2) doubling of fuel efficiency of power plants seems unlikely
- >
- >> 3) no mention is made for acomodating growth which barring intervention to
- >> ensure a no growth policy will occur at between 2% and 4% a year
- B>> minimum
- >
- >> 4) no mention is made regarding handling the developing countries which can
- >> potentially cause an explosion in the need for energy
- >
- >Indeed, they are most unrealistic.
-
- I have already posted evidence that suggests technologically speaking
- they aren't unrealistic.
-
- >>Why not come out and express the realities:
- >
- >> 1) Population growth must be controlled world wide
- >
- >Just how much government power over people's private lives do you think this
- >would entail?
-
- That depends on how serious we let the situation get. At the moment, a
- lot can be acheived through family planning, more rights for women,
- better education and freely available contraceptives in the relevant countries.
-
- >> 2) Standards of living in the devleoped world will drop by perhaps as much
- >> as 1/3 to 1/2
- >
- >Just how much misery do you think this sort of policy would generate?
-
- The original comment was unsubstantiated, and indeed it is
- technologically possible for us to cut our energy use in half without
- altering living standards, and in many cases the changes could improve
- the quality of life. See my essay on energy efficiency for some of the
- evidence of this.
-
- >> 3) Business will have to undergo major restructuriong to approach zero
- >> emmisions and massive recycling
- >
- >Just how much arbitrary governemnt power will this require? Who died and
- >left you king anyway? Keep your nose out of my business. Perhaps we ought to
- >be forced to cork our bodily orefices too?
-
- If businesses are in the habit of wasting large amounts of resources,
- then I think they should somehow deal with this, and in some cases
- minimum standards should be set.
-
- >> 4) progress in the devloping world will be slowed by a rigorous need to
- >> support the environemntal controls which are at least being
- >> attempted in the developed world today
- >
- >Since development in the 3rd world is so slow millions are already living in
- >squalor and dying young, how many millions more would such policies kill,
- >maim, and impoverish?
-
- Development in the third world would be much quicker cleaner and cheaper
- if we helped them adopt energy efficient technologies, and released them
- from the intolerable burdens of debt.
-
- >> 5) Nonfossile energy sources need to be the predominant energy sources in
- >> the developing world
- >
- >Of course, this will be opposed by nuclear-shy environmentalists. By the
- >way, why not in the developed world too? Who will build these plants? Slave
- >labor?
-
- There are other options than the nuclear option, and they are cheaper
- and more relevant to third world needs than nuclear is.
-
- >> 6) Nuclear energy sources will become ever increasingly important
- >
- >
- >
- >>My list may not be complete, may overspecify some items etc., but these are the
- >>classes of policy changes required world wide for visions such as the proposed
- >>fossile free energy world to be achieved.
- >
- >Who put you in charge of determining what the vision for MY future ought to be?
- >What if I don't want to live in the kind of poor, brutish, death-filled
- >world you would like to see?
- >
- >--Brian
-
- The comments were attempting to cover the ground of the original summary
- of the report. None of us has read the report yet, and it may well cover
- the various points brought up in this discussion. I think you should
- take a look at the evidence before judging it.
-
- James
-
- --
- * James Hammerton * If Pascal is equivalent to the *
- * Email: jamesh@uk.ac.ed.aisb * mini-metro,then ML is the concept *
- * * car where steering is done *
- * * recursively using the gearstick. *
-