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- Xref: sparky sci.energy:7100 talk.environment:5617
- Newsgroups: sci.energy,talk.environment
- Path: sparky!uunet!paladin.american.edu!howland.reston.ans.net!usc!cs.utexas.edu!csc.ti.com!tilde.csc.ti.com!pan.mc.ti.com!a722756
- From: a722756@roper.mc.ti.com (W. Donald Rolph)
- Subject: Re: FEATURE: "Energy Without Oil" Executive Summary
- Message-ID: <1993Jan21.104647@roper.mc.ti.com>
- Originator: a722756@roper.mc.ti.com
- Keywords: energy environment oil press
- Sender: usenet@pan.mc.ti.com (USENET News System)
- Organization: Texas Instruments / Attleboro Mass / USA
- References: <Greenpeace.19Jan1993.0937@naughty-peahen> <Greenpeace.19Jan1993.2006@naughty-peahen>
- Date: Thu, 21 Jan 1993 15:46:47 GMT
- Lines: 40
-
-
- I find a great deal of discomfort with some hypotheses required to support this
- proposal:
-
- 1) 96 mpg cars for the general case strike me as highly unrealistic
-
- 2) doubling of fuel efficiency of power plants seems unlikely
-
- 3) no mention is made for acomodating growth which barring intervention to
- ensure a no growth policy will occur at between 2% and 4% a year
- minimum
-
- 4) no mention is made regarding handling the developing countries which can
- potentially cause an explosion in the need for energy
-
- Statments like these which presuppose fundamental change in worldwide wpolicy
- without explicitly addressing these policy changes directly strike me as at best
- misleading. Why not come out and express the realities:
-
- 1) Population growth must be controlled world wide
- 2) Standards of living in the devleoped world will drop by perhaps as much
- as 1/3 to 1/2
- 3) Business will have to undergo major restructuriong to approach zero
- emmisions and massive recycling
- 4) progress in the devloping world will be slowed by a rigorous need to
- support the environemntal controls which are at least being
- attempted in the developed world today
- 5) Nonfossile energy sources need to be the predominant energy sources in
- the developing world
- 6) Nuclear energy sources will become ever increasingly important
-
- My list may not be complete, may overspecify some items etc., but these are the
- classes of policy changes required world wide for visions such as the proposed
- fossile free energy world to be achieved.
-
- --
-
- Regards.
-
- Don Rolph a722756@pan.mc.ti.com WD3 MS10-13 (508)-699-1263
-