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- From: pgf@srl01.cacs.usl.edu ("Phil G. Fraering")
- Subject: Another in the continuing Golden Oldies series
- Message-ID: <By6vAF.GBw.1@cs.cmu.edu>
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- Organization: [via International Space University]
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- Distribution: sci
- Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1992 21:42:20 GMT
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- Lines: 73
-
- Here's another. Commentary to follow, article begins here:"
-
- The discussion about private business getting into the space
- business in a serious way DOES belong here, because it falls into the
- scope of SPACE digest (I feel), and there hasn't been much traffic on
- this list recently anyway (things need to be livened up around here).
-
- To wit:
-
- While opening space to non-governmental use has potential
- dangers, (one can see cost-cutting on safety hardware for a priviate
- shuttle, leading to a launch pad explosion or reentry burnup), leaving
- it exclusivly in the hands of the government (especially the military)
- makes it a political hostage.
-
- Let me advance another scenario that can happen if the
- bureaucratic hold on space is not broken:
-
- 1983 - Furthur budget cuts for NASA cause cancellation of fourth
- Shuttle orbiter. Funds for completion of Discovery (the
- third orbiter) are in doubt. The Air Force steps in and
- pays for the third and fourth orbiters. Congress readily
- approves this "national defense" expenditure.
-
- 1984 - Increased doubts about Shuttle availability and
- reliability (due to trimmed operational funds) lead
- potential customers to use expendable vechiles instead
- (Ariadane for example), cutting income from cargo loads.
-
- 1985 - The Congress wonders why the Shuttle is in such red ink
- and declares "The taxpayers of America cannot afford to
- subsidize this money-losing boondoggle". NASA gives some
- under-booked shuttle flights to the Air Force.
-
- 1987 - Shuttle use has fully replaced expendable rockets for the
- military. Since the military is continually launching new
- spy satellites, plus testing particle-beam weapons,
- Vandenberg AFB is keeping busy while Cape Canerveral is
- winding down.
-
- 1988 - The Shuttle is declared "too vital for national defense
- to be used for other things", since the military now
- leans heavily on it (and they have the bucks to
- do so), so NASA is reduced to buying cargo bay space from
- the Air Force to do science.
-
- I admit for this pessimistic scenario to take place, a lot of
- things have to go wrong in the next year or two. I neither expect nor
- desire these things to happen. However, if space remains, as it is now,
- exclusively in the hands of the government, this CAN happen, and there
- will be no failsafe against it.
-
- A solution is to open up space to private speculation (with
- proper licensing and [gasp] regulations). In the interim, the money for
- the R&D must continue to flow from the taxpayers to build the basic
- technology for space industrialization (the Shuttle).
-
- Alright, folks.... let's see those brickbats fly!
- -------
-
- Phil here again: what do we know from here in the future?
- Basically, the shuttle has turned out to be an expensive
- waste of money that Proxmire couldn't even conceive of,
- and we can't even get rid of the danged thing if that's
- what it took to save the space program.
-
- I mean in terms of having a space program that does something,
- not just spend money...
-
- --
- Phil Fraering
- "...drag them, kicking and screaming, into the Century of the Fruitbat."
- <<- Terry Pratchett, _Reaper Man_
-