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- From: roberts@cmr.ncsl.nist.gov (John Roberts)
- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Subject: Re: DC cost estimates
- Message-ID: <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu>
- Date: 31 Dec 92 13:45:29 GMT
- Article-I.D.: cs.C04M9F.58D.1
- Sender: news+@cs.cmu.edu
- Distribution: sci
- Organization: National Institute of Standards and Technology formerly National Bureau of Standards
- Lines: 31
- Approved: bboard-news_gateway
- X-Added: Forwarded by Space Digest
- Original-Sender: isu@VACATION.VENARI.CS.CMU.EDU
-
-
- -From: gary@ke4zv.uucp (Gary Coffman)
- -Subject: Re: Latest Pegasus news?
- -Date: 31 Dec 92 00:45:13 GMT
- -Organization: Destructive Testing Systems
-
- -In article <1992Dec27.203327.21241@iti.org> aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer) writes:
- [Debate on cost of DC.]
-
- -You misrepresent my position. All I'm saying is that new systems are
- -rarely as cheap and easy in metal as they are on paper. That's what
- -research and development programs are designed to discover. Only a few
- -things that pass through development ever reach mass production as
- -cheap and troublefree as they were on paper.
-
- Allen generally takes projected "worst-case" cost estimates for DC
- and multiplies them by two or more in making his calculations, which
- I think shows he is aware of the problem. That the results still come
- out favorable to DC is an indication that work on DC should be continued.
- (I presume you favor that.)
-
- I should make one additional point regarding Allen's calculations - they
- don't include the large opportunity cost if the Shuttle program should
- be cancelled before DC is fully operational (and able to handle the full
- operational capabilities of the Shuttle, if that ever happens). Doing so
- would add a considerable amount to the cost estimates for DC. So I
- consider Allen's calculations to be reasonable, provided that the Shuttle
- program is allowed to continue while DC is being developed.
-
- John Roberts
- roberts@cmr.ncsl.nist.gov
-