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- From: hack@arabia.uucp (Edmund Hack)
- Subject: Re: DC vs Shuttle capabilities
- Message-ID: <1992Dec29.202546.12526@aio.jsc.nasa.gov>
- Sender: Edmund Hack
- Organization: Lockheed ESC, Houston
- References: <ewright.725648029@convex.convex.com>
- Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1992 20:25:46 GMT
- Lines: 51
-
- In article <ewright.725648029@convex.convex.com>
- ewright@convex.com (Edward V. Wright) writes:
- [stuff deleted]
- > There is no reason to believe that there will be more practical
- >technical problems involved in building DC than in building the B-777,
- >except that you *want* to believe that is true.
-
- I think that there are quite a few reasons to believe that an SSTO
- vehicle will have more "practical technical problems" than the B-777:
-
- 1. The B-777 is one in a series of airliners built by the same
- engineering organization. No one has built a man-rated space vehicle
- with the design goals of the DC-1 project, and certainly not at MacDac.
-
- 2. There is limited experience with composite airframes in routine
- operational use. Certainly less with composite cryo tanks, if that
- route is taken. (The exceptions to this lie in the B-2 program and the
- kitplane market, but the B-2 is very early in the flight programs. There
- may be some data from "black" programs that MacDac has access to.)
-
- 3. The throttled RL-10 with nozzle extender is a new and essentially
- untried engine. Engine development is more art than science and has a
- history of being subject to delays.
-
- 4. The servicing goals and rapid turnaround requirements of the vehicle
- are doable on paper, but have been held out as very risky by an
- independent study.
-
- 5. The weight margins on the vehicle are very tight, a historical source
- of problems in spacecraft and aircraft design.
-
- Even given all that, the DC-X, DC-Y, DC-1 progression is a valid and
- prudent way to develop this class of vehicle. There is one other source
- of risk that is hard to quantify at this point: MacDac is an ailing
- company, in substantial risk of major cutbacks. Given that the company
- is throwing a lot of IR&D money into the project, it could founder on
- the rocks of a major financial crisis in the company. I also give
- MacDac high marks for the management approach, which I have heard the
- project manager give a talk on. It is modeled on the Lockheed "Skunk
- Works" approach.
-
- Hopefully, the incoming administration will see the value of the
- vehicle, there will be a safe and successful flight test this summer and
- it will proceed with the DC-Y. I consider the DC development program a
- prudent use of the government's risk capital. However, we need to keep
- an eye on alternatives in case the DC program stubs its toe.
- --
- Edmund Hack - Lockheed Engineering & Sciences Co. - Houston, TX
- hack@aio.jsc.nasa.gov - I speak only for myself, unless blah, blah..
- "You know, I think we're all Bozos on this bus."
- "Detail Dress Circuits" "Belt: Above A, Below B" "Close B ClothesMode"
-