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- Newsgroups: sci.military
- Path: sparky!uunet!gatech!hubcap!ncrcae!ncrhub2!ciss!law7!military
- From: Norman Yarvin <yarvin@cs.yale.edu>
- Subject: Re: No Army Needed
- Message-ID: <C0171q.38A@law7.DaytonOH.NCR.COM>
- Sender: military@law7.DaytonOH.NCR.COM (Sci.Military Login)
- Organization: Yale Computer Science Department
- References: <BzM9op.M1x@law7.DaytonOH.NCR.COM> <Bzo8os.C69@law7.DaytonOH.NCR.COM> <BzzCLF.5B@law7.DaytonOH.NCR.COM>
- Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1992 17:25:02 GMT
- Approved: military@law7.daytonoh.ncr.com
- Lines: 76
-
-
- From Norman Yarvin <yarvin@cs.yale.edu>
-
- Dan Sorenson <viking@iastate.edu> writes:
-
- > Still, what do you do to stop these
- >guys from ambushing the occassional patrol, perhaps just picking off
- >your sentries once a month or so?
-
- One way a patrol avoids being ambushed is to take a different route, and go
- at a different hour, each time it goes out. With this, only a few percent
- of ambushes, set up at a random point, will succeed. However a unit which
- uses this tactic alone will still suffer losses from those ambushes which do
- happen to be put in the right location. And the guerrillas will not suffer
- corresponding losses.
-
- Thus a unit which wishes to give as good as it gets must also attempt to
- ambush the ambushers. In a sense this levels the playing field; the
- situation becomes two small groups of men, out in the wilderness, trying to
- kill each other. In such a fight both sides will suffer losses. Which side
- comes out with a better kill ratio depends on the relative skills of the two
- sides. (It depends on relative quality of equipment also, but only
- equipment that can be hand-carried is relevant.) In Afghanistan, for
- instance, the locals had a long tradition of warlike shooting. Their
- enemies were mostly Soviet conscripts plucked from farms or factories. Thus
- the Afghans must have established their dominance in small-unit conflicts
- early, and kept it up until the end.
-
- In Vietnam there was no such tradition. However the Vietnamese did have one
- immense advantage: they had the time to develop the necessary skills. Our
- infantrymen did not, because they were rotated out after six months. (I am
- unsure of this figure. Maybe it was nine months or a year.) In addition
- the training US infantrymen were given before being sent over was poor.
- However what could have been done is shown by those few Americans who were
- highly skilled. Someone in this thread mentioned that US soldiers could
- never venture out in less than platoon strength; while this may have been
- true in the vast majority of cases, there was also an organization of
- snipers who went out for days at a time in two-man groups, with considerable
- success.
-
- As for picking off sentries: if the area is deserted, someone coming in to
- shoot at a sentry will also be a target for your patrols. Patrols, in any
- sort of warfare, are not just a formality. They must move silently and use
- their eyes and ears.
-
- The above assumes that operations are in some sort of wilderness. In a
- heavily populated area, if the population were completely hostile, the
- guerrillas could take inflict damage in all sorts of ways at little risk to
- themselves. Thus an occupying force would have to take measures to secure
- the loyalty of the inhabitants. Not all negative measures, either.
- Treating the locals decently could be one method. At the same time anyone
- caught aiding the guerrillas would be punished severely, likely by
- execution. There would be an accompanying war of propaganda to win the
- sentiments of the local population. While this last is, I think, critical,
- the details of it are out of the charter of sci.military.
-
- > The morale problem would be rather
- >difficult to overcome, especially for an occupation force, and the
- >resources you expend getting rid of them are immense compared to what
- >the militia needs to expend to hurt you a bit.
-
- The guerrillas will have problems with morale too, if they are losing men in
- a seemingly endless struggle.
-
- I would offer the IRA as an example of an insurgency that is basically a
- failure. The British do keep a military presence in Northern Ireland.
- British patrols are done in armored vehicles. Certain bases are generally
- reached by helicopter rather than by car. However they have managed to
- maintain an "acceptable level of violence", using presumably an acceptable
- amount of money.
-
- --
- Norman Yarvin yarvin@cs.yale.edu
- "Defenceless, adj. Unable to attack."
- -- Ambrose Bierce, _The Devil's Dictionary_
-
-