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- From: hwstock@snll-arpagw.llnl.gov (stockman harlan w)
- Newsgroups: sci.environment
- Subject: Re: intimidation
- Message-ID: <394@snll-arpagw.llnl.gov>
- Date: 23 Dec 92 16:34:33 GMT
- References: <1992Dec13.211636.22639@vexcel.com> <389@snll-arpagw.llnl.gov> <1992Dec17.154634.9130@vexcel.com>
- Organization: Sandia National Labs, Livermore, CA
- Lines: 24
-
- In article <1992Dec17.154634.9130@vexcel.com> dean@vexcel.com (Dean Alaska) writes:
- >not the sole basis for the concerns about climate change. You
- >suggest that we practive conservation while we "wait" for better
- >data and theory but many people would not consider this to be
- >waiting. I would agree that conservation and efficiency are the
- >appropriate tactics based on current knowledge and that is what
- >most environmentalists are calling for now.
- >
- ??? I suggested immediately cutting down on emissions, not "waiting". If
- you base your decisions on dubious models, you will lose the respect of
- scientists and open yourself up for criticism at all levels. I would
- rather base my decisions on a conservative analysis of the size of
- CO2/organic sinks and sources as fractions of the natural sources and
- sinks.
-
- To assess any model, I generally follow the debate that takes place in
- the peer-reviewed literature; for climatology, this debate seems to be
- lively. Don't forget there are risks on both sides of this debate; I can
- find little good to say about wasting energy, but on the other hand,
- extremely rapid changes can sink a fragile economy and lead to backlash;
- the country (and the world) does not have infinite money to spend on
- solutions. I found the recent Consumer Reports survey of public
- perceptions on environmental problems to be very enlightening in this
- regard.
-