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- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de (Christopher Lott)
- Subject: misc.invest FAQ on general investment topics (part 1 of 3)
- Message-ID: <invest-faq-p1_764730127@informatik.Uni-KL.DE>
- Followup-To: misc.invest
- Summary: Answers to frequently asked questions about investments.
- Should be read by anyone who wishes to post to misc.invest.
- Originator: lott@bogner.informatik.uni-kl.de
- Keywords: invest, stock, bond, money, faq
- Sender: news@uklirb.informatik.uni-kl.de (Unix-News-System)
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- Reply-To: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- Organization: University of Kaiserslautern, Germany
- References: <invest-faq-toc_764730127@informatik.Uni-KL.DE>
- Date: Sun, 27 Mar 1994 01:02:49 GMT
- Approved: news-answers-request@MIT.Edu
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- Xref: bloom-beacon.mit.edu misc.invest:37631 misc.answers:510 news.answers:16880 misc.invest.stocks:4539
-
- Archive-name: investment-faq/general/part1
- Version: $Id: faq-p1,v 1.13 1994/03/23 06:56:18 lott Exp lott $
- Compiler: Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This is the general FAQ for misc.invest, part 1 of 3.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Sources for Current and Historical Market Data
- Last-Revised: 8 Feb 94
- From: bakken@cs.arizona.edu, nfs@princeton.edu, gary@intrepid.com,
- discar@nosc.mil, irving@Happy-Man.com, ddavis@gain.com,
- krshah@us.oracle.com, cr@farpoint.tucson.az.us, skrenta@usl.com,
- clark@soldev.tti.com, savage@dg-rtp.dg.com, zheng@emei.cs.umt.edu,
- peize@rpi.edu
-
- There is now a free source for historical stock information on the Internet:
- + Ed Savage (savage@dg-rtp.dg.com) has started collecting data. Stated
- purpose: "To collect publicly available market data in one place so
- people can FTP it easily." Donate *freely redistributable* data or
- access same via anonymous ftp to host name dg-rtp.dg.com. Fetch the
- file pub/misc.invest/README for more information on formats, content,
- etc. This is NOT a real-time or 15-min delay quote server. It does
- have close-of-day quotes for a limited number of stocks.
-
- Other free services:
- + Martin Wong's QUOTESERVER. Summary of stock market activity updated
- at approximately 21:45 EST with the current day's closing information
- for the market and about 200 individual issues. Available by email
- (contact martin.wong@eng.sun.com) or via the World Wide Web using the
- Document URL http://www.ai.mit.edu/stocks.html
-
- + The University of Michigan has a large collection of data collected
- by the US Government. Use anonymous ftp to host una.hh.lib.umich.edu
- and look in directory /ebb/indicators.
-
- Paid services:
- + Prodigy. US$15/month for basic service includes 15 minute delayed
- quotes on stocks at NO additional charge. Additional US$15/month for
- historical data download service (flat fee). Available via local
- dial-up all over the US. Contact them at 800-PRO-DIGY.
-
- + Compuserve. US$8.95/month for basic service includes 15-min delayed
- quotes on stocks and options and access to (mutual) Fund Watch Online.
- Historical quotes are available for about US$.05 each. Available via
- local dial-up all over the US.
- Contact them at 800-848-8990 or +1 (614) 457-8650.
-
- + GEnie. US$8.95/month includes 4 free hours; subsequent hours are $3.
- Has daily closing quotes. Genie Professional service (price not given)
- gives historical quotes, stock reports, different investment s/w, access
- to Charles Schwab and online trading. Contact them at 800-638-9636.
-
- + Farpoint. ($4 or $8/week for an IBM-compatible diskette) provides
- daily high, low, close, and volume for for approximately 6000 stocks.
- They offer historical data from 1 July 89 to present. Write to
- Farpoint, 3412 Milwaukee Avenue, Suite 477, Northbrook, Illinois 60062.
- Also see the listing for the Farpoint BBS below.
-
- + Xpress. Broadcasts stock quotes and news via cable TV in the US.
- Decoder costs $125 and provides 9600-baud serial-line output.
- Tier 1 service is free and includes quotes 3x/day and news stories.
- Tier 2 service costs $22/month and adds 15-min delayed quotes and
- investment blurbs. Ftp a UNIX Xpress-reader from ftp.acns.nwu.edu
- in directory pub/xpress. Beware that your local cable rep. may not
- know that the cable co. offers it! Contact Xpress at 800-7PC-NEWS.
-
- + Worden Brothers TeleChart 2000. PC software costs $29. Historical
- data costs 1/2-cent/day for minimum 300 days, 1/4-cent thereafter,
- and includes high, low, close, and volume. Offers data from about 1988
- for every listed and OTC issue and many indexes. Toll-free number for
- downloading data at 14.4K baud. Contact them at 800-776-4940.
-
- + Dow Jones News Retrieval. Stock, bond, mutual, index quotes as well
- as news articles on companies, and misc. analysis packages. US $30
- per month flat rate for the after hours service (8pm-5am local time).
- Available via dialup over Tymnet and SprintNet; available via Internet.
- Contact them at 800-522-3567 or +1 (609) 452-1511.
-
- + InterTrade provides historical quotes for stocks, funds, and indices
- on all three major US markets on floppy disks. One year of data for
- a block of 500 stocks/funds/indices costs $20. Subscriptions available.
- Contact them at +1 (518) 371-1031 or 72066,3043@compuserve.com.
-
- + The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) sells a package
- on floppy disk issued quarterly with financial info (balance sheets,
- company summary, stock summary, income statement data) on many issues.
- Only $99/year if you are a member. Contact them at +1 (312) 280-0170.
-
- + Standard & Poor's Compustat (most complete and most expensive).
- Contact them at ............
-
- + Disclosure's "Compact Disclosure" on CD (only $6,000 a year).
- Contact them at ............
-
- + Value Line's Database
- Contact them at ............
-
- Bulletin Boards for historical stock information include:
- + The Farpoint BBS offers a free source of historical stock data
- (about 3 years worth). They give you 120 minutes of free time
- daily and have historical data files on hundreds of stocks.
- Phone number is +1 (312) 274-6128.
-
- + The Business Center BBS in San Diego carries historical data on
- most issues on the NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX. TBC also provides free
- 15-minute delayed quotes on over 12,000 symbols, mutual funds, and
- indexes. It is free but limits on-line time to 20 minutes.
- Phone number is +1 (619) 482-8675.
-
- + FinComm BBS. "The Online Magazine Of Wall Street Computing."
- Individual daily quotes available for free. US$50/year buys a premium
- account that offers unlimited access to historical stock data.
- Phone number is +1 (212) 752-8660.
-
- + Stock Data. $10/month for daily market data via modem, $30-$45
- per month for weekly update via diskette. Historical data back to
- 1987 at $1/day. Phone number is +1 (410) 280-5533.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Beginning Investor's Advice
- Last-Revised: 16 Nov 1993
- From: pearson_steven@tandem.com, egreen@east.sun.com
-
- Investing is just one aspect of personal finance. People often seem to
- have the itch to try their hand at investing before they get the rest
- of their act together. This is a big mistake. For this reason, it's
- a good idea for "new investors" to hit the library and read maybe read
- three different overall guides to personal finance - three for different
- perspectives, and because common themes will emerge (repetition implies
- authority?). Anyway, what I'm talking about are books like:
-
- Madigan and Kasoff, The First-Time Investor, ISBN 0-13-942376-1
- Andrew Tobias,
- [Still] the Only [Other] Investment Guide You Will Ever Need.
- (3 versions with slightly different titles, all very similar.)
- Sylvia Porter, New Money Book for the 80s
- Money Magazine, Money Guide
-
- Another good source is the Mutual Fund Education Alliance (MFEA); write
- them at MFEA, 1900 Erie Street, Suite 120, Kansas City, MO 64116.
-
- What I am specifically NOT talking about is most anything that appears
- on a list of investing/stock market books that are posted in misc.invest
- from time to time. You know, Market Logic, One Up on Wall Street,
- Beating the Dow, Winning on Wall Street, The Intelligent Investor, etc.
- These are not general enough. They are investment books, not personal
- finance books.
-
- Many "beginning investors" have no business investing in stocks. The
- books recommended above give good overall money management, budgeting,
- purchasing, insurance, taxes, estate issues, and investing backgrounds
- from which to build a personal framework. Only after that should one
- explore particular investments. If someone needs to unload some cash
- in the meantime, they should put it in a money market fund, or yes,
- even a bank account, until they complete their basic training.
-
- While I sympathize with those who view this education as a daunting
- task, I don't see any better answer. People who know next to nothing
- and always depend on "professional advisors" to hand-hold them through
- all transactions are simply sheep asking to be fleeced (they may not
- actually be fleeced, but most of them will at least get their tails
- bobbed). In the long run, you are the only person ultimately responsible
- for your own financial situation.
-
- All beginners should read the article about Charles Givens in this FAQ.
- Advanced beginners should also check the recommended list of books
- about stocks and other investments that also appears in this FAQ.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Dave Rhodes and Other Chain Letters
- Last-Revised: 30 Sep 1993
- From: pearson_steven@tandem.com, foo@netcom.com
-
- Please do NOT post the "Dave Rhodes" or any other chain letter,
- pyramid scheme, or other scam to misc.invest.
-
- Pyramid schemes are fraud. It's simple mathematics. You can't
- realistically base a business on an exponentially-growing cast of
- new "employees." Sending money through the mails as part of a
- fraudulent scheme is against US Postal regulations. Notice that
- it's not the *asking* that is illegal, but rather the delivery of
- money through the US mail that the USPS cares about. But fraud is
- illegal, no matter how the money is delivered, and asking that
- delivery use the US Mail just makes for a double whammy.
-
- Note that when someone posts this nonsense with their name and home
- address attached, it's fairly simple for a postal inspector to trace
- the offender down.
-
- Although the "Dave Rhodes" letter has been appearing almost
- weekly in misc.invest, and it's getting pretty old, it's mildly
- interesting to see how this scam mutates as it passes through
- various bulletin boards and newsgroups. Sometimes our friend
- Dave went broke in 1985, sometimes as recently as 1988. Sometimes
- he's now driving a mercedes, sometimes a cadillac, etc., etc.
- The scam just keeps getting updated to keep up with the times.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: American Depository Receipts (ADR)
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- An American Depository Receipt is a share of stock of an investment in
- shares of a non-US corporation.
-
- For example, BigCitibank might purchase 25 million shares of a non-US
- stock. Call it EuroGlom Corporation (EGC). Perhaps EGC trades on the
- Paris exchange, where BigCitibank bought them. BigCitibank would then
- register with the SEC and offer for sale shares of EGC ADRs.
-
- EGC ADRs are valued in dollars, and BigCitibank could apply to the
- NYSE to list them. In effect, they are repackaged EGC shares, backed
- by EGC shares owned by BigCitibank, and they would then trade like any
- other stock on the NYSE.
-
- BigCitibank would take a management fee for their efforts, and the
- number of EGC shares represented by EGC ADRs would effectively
- decrease, so the price would go down a slight amount; or EGC itself
- might pay BigCitibank their fee in return for helping to establish a
- US market for EGC. Naturally, currency fluctuations will affect the
- US Dollar price of the ADR.
-
- Dividends paid by EGC are received by BigCitibank and distributed
- proportionally to EGC ADR holders. If EGC withholds (foreign) tax on
- the dividends before this distribution, then BigCitibank will withhold
- a proportional amount before distributing the dividend to ADR holders,
- and will report on a Form 1099-Div both the gross dividend and the
- amount of foreign tax withheld.
-
- Most of the time the foreign nation permits US holders (BigCitibank in
- this case) to vote their shares on all or most issues, and ADR holders
- will receive ballots which will be received by BigCitibank and voted in
- proportion to ADR Shareholder's vote. I don't know if BigCitibank has
- the option of voting shares which ADR holders failed to vote.
-
- Having said this, however, for the most part ADRs look and feel pretty
- much like any other stock.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bankrupt Broker
- Last-Revised: 23 Jun 1993
- From: Arthur.S.Kamlet@att.com
-
- The U.S. Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) is a
- federally chartered private corporation whose job is to insure
- shareholders against the situation of a U.S. stock-broker going
- bankrupt.
-
- The National Association of Security Dealers requires all of their
- member brokers to have SIPC insurance. Many brokers supplement the
- limits that SIPC insures ($100,000 cash and $500,000 total, I think--
- I could be wrong here) with additional policies so you are covered up
- to $1 million or more.
-
- Having said that, be aware there are still quite a few brokers
- who do not insure with SIPC - and so are not members of the NASD.
-
- My advice is that you should not do business with a broker who is not
- insured by the SIPC.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Beta
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: RKSHUKLA@SUVM.SYR.EDU,ajayshah@almaak.usc.edu,rbp@investor.pgh.pa.us
-
- Beta is the sensitivity of a stock's returns to the returns on some market
- index (e.g., S&P 500). Beta values can be roughly characterized as follows:
-
- b < 0 Negative beta is possible but not likely. People thought gold
- stocks should have negative betas but that hasn't been true
-
- b = 0 Cash under your mattress, assuming no inflation
-
- 0 < b < 1 Dull investments (e.g., utility stocks)
-
- b = 1 Matching the index (e.g., for the S&P 500, an index fund)
-
- b > 1 Anything more volatile than the index (e.g., small cap. funds)
-
- b -> infinity Impossible, because the stock would be expected to go to zero
- on any market decline. 2-3 is probably as high as you will get
-
- More interesting is the idea that securities MAY have different betas in
- up and down markets. Forbes used to (and may still) rate mutual funds
- for bull and bear market performance.
-
- Here is an example showing the inner details of the beta calculation process:
-
- Suppose we collected end-of-the-month prices and any dividends for a
- stock and the S&P 500 index for 61 months (0..60). We need n + 1 price
- observations to calculate n holding period returns, so since we would
- like to index the returns as 1..60, the prices are indexed 0..60.
- Also, professional beta services use monthly data over a five year period.
-
- Now, calculate monthly holding period returns using the prices and
- dividends. For example, the return for month 2 will be calculated as:
- r_2 = ( p_2 - p_1 + d_2 ) / p_1
-
- Here r denotes return, p denotes price, and d denotes dividend. The
- following table of monthly data may help in visualizing the process.
- Monthly data is preferred in the profession because investors' horizons
- are said to be monthly.
- ===========================================
- # Date Price Dividend(*) Return
- ===========================================
- 0 12/31/86 45.20 0.00 --
- 1 01/31/87 47.00 0.00 0.0398
- 2 02/28/87 46.75 0.30 0.0011
- . ... ... ... ...
- 59 11/30/91 46.75 0.30 0.0011
- 60 12/31/91 48.00 0.00 0.0267
- ===========================================
- (*) Dividend refers to the dividend paid during the period. They are
- assumed to be paid on the date. For example, the dividend of 0.30
- could have been paid between 02/01/87 and 02/28/87, but is assumed
- to be paid on 02/28/87.
-
- So now we'll have a series of 60 returns on the stock and the index
- (1...61). Plot the returns on a graph and fit the best-fit line
- (visually or using some least squares process):
-
- | * /
- stock | * * */ *
- returns| * * / *
- | * / *
- | * /* * *
- | / * *
- | / *
- |
- |
- +------------------------- index returns
-
- The slope of the line is Beta. Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo, and others
- use a very similar process (they differ in which index they use and in
- some econometric nuances).
-
- Now what does Beta mean? A lot of disservice has been done to Beta in
- the popular press because of trying to simplify the concept. A beta of
- 1.5 does *not* mean that is the market goes up by 10 points, the stock
- will go up by 15 points. It even *doesn't* mean that if the market has
- a return (over some period, say a month) of 2%, the stock will have a
- return of 3%. To understand Beta, look at the equation of the line we
- just fitted:
-
- stock return = alpha + beta * index return
-
- Technically speaking, alpha is the intercept in the estimation model.
- It is expected to be equal to risk-free rate times (1 - beta). But it
- is best ignored by most people. In another (very similar equation) the
- intercept, which is also called alpha, is a measure of superior performance.
-
- Therefore, by computing the derivative, we can write:
- Change in stock return = beta * change in index return
-
- So, truly and technically speaking, if the market return is 2% above its
- mean, the stock return would be 3% above its mean, if the stock beta is 1.5.
-
- One shot at interpreting beta is the following. On a day the (S&P-type)
- market index goes up by 1%, a stock with beta of 1.5 will go up by 1.5% +
- epsilon. Thus it won't go up by exactly 1.5%, but by something different.
-
- The good thing is that the epsilon values for different stocks are
- guaranteed to be uncorrelated with each other. Hence in a diversified
- portfolio, you can expect all the epsilons (of different stocks) to
- cancel out. Thus if you hold a diversified portfolio, the beta of a
- stock characterizes that stock's response to fluctuations in the market
- portfolio.
-
- So in a diversified portfolio, the beta of stock X is a good summary of
- its risk properties with respect to the "systematic risk", which is
- fluctuations in the market index. A stock with high beta responds
- strongly to variations in the market, and a stock with low beta is
- relatively insensitive to variations in the market.
-
- E.g. if you had a portfolio of beta 1.2, and decided to add a stock
- with beta 1.5, then you know that you are slightly increasing the
- riskiness (and average return) of your portfolio. This conclusion is
- reached by merely comparing two numbers (1.2 and 1.5). That parsimony
- of computation is the major contribution of the notion of "beta".
- Conversely if you got cold feet about the variability of your beta = 1.2
- portfolio, you could augment it with a few companies with beta less than 1.
-
- If you had wished to figure such conclusions without the notion of
- beta, you would have had to deal with large covariance matrices and
- nontrivial computations.
-
- Finally, a reference. See Malkiel, _A Random Walk Down Wall Street_, for
- more information on beta as an estimate of risk.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bonds
- Last-Revised: 7 Jan 1993
- From: ask@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- Bonds are debt instruments. Let's say a corporation needs to build
- a new office building, or needs to purchase manufacturing equipment,
- or needs to purchase aircraft, they will have to raise money.
-
- One way is to arrange for banks or others to lend them money. But a
- generally less expensive way is to issue (sell) bonds. The corporation
- will agree to pay dividends on these bonds and at some time in the
- future to redeem these bonds.
-
- In the U.S., corporate bonds are often issued in units of $1,000.
- When municipalities issue bonds, they are usually in units of $5,000.
- Dividends are usually paid every 6 months.
-
- Bondholders are not owners of the corporation. But if the corporation
- gets in financial trouble and needs to dissolve, bondholders must be
- paid off in full before stockholders get anything.
-
- If the corporation defaults on any bond payment, any bondholder can
- go into bankruptcy court and request the corporation be placed in
- bankruptcy.
-
- The price of a bond is a function of prevailing interest rates (as
- rates go up, the price of the bond goes down, and vice versa) as
- well as the risk perceived for the debt of the particular
- corporation. For example, if the company is in bankruptcy, the
- price of the bond will be low.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Book-to-Bill Ratio
- Last-Revised: 19 Aug 1993
- From: tcmay@netcom.com
-
- The book-to-bill ration is the ratio of business "booked" (orders
- taken) to business "billed" (products shipped and bills sent).
-
- A book-to-bill of 1.0 implies incoming business = ougoing product.
- Often in downturns, the b-t-b drops to 0.9, sometimes even lower.
- A b-t-b of 1.1 or higher is very encouraging.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Books About Investing (especially stocks)
- Last-Revised: 19 Jan 1994
- From: jhc@iris.uucp, nfs@princeton.edu, ajayshah@rcf.usc.edu,
- rbeville@tekig5.pen.tek.com, Chris.Hynes@launchpad.unc.edu,
- orwant@home.media.mit.edu
-
- Books are organized alphabetically by author's last name.
-
- Author Title(s)
- ----- --------
- Peter Bernstein Capital Ideas
- Frank Cappielo New Guide to Finding the Next Superstock
- George S. Clason The Richest Man in Babylon
- Consumer's Union Consumer Reports Money Book
- Burton Crane The Sophicated Investor
- William Donoghue No-Load Mutual Fund Guide
- Dun & Bradstreet Guide to Your Investments 1993
- Louis Engel How to Buy Stocks
- Norman G. Fosback Stock Market Logic
- Gary Gastineau The Stock Options Manual
- Benjamin Graham The Intelligent Investor, Security Analysis
- C. Colburn Hardy The Fact$ of Life
- Jiler How Charts Can Help You
- Gerald M. Loeb The Battle for Investment Survival
- Peter Lynch One Up on Wall Street
- Burton Malkiel A Random Walk Down Wall Street
- Lawrence McMillan Options as a Strategic Investment
- Sylvia Porter New Money Book for the 80s
- Pring Technical Analysis Explained
- Claude Rosenberg Stock Market Primer
- L. Louis Rukeyser How to Make Money in the Stock Market
- Terry Savage New Money Strategies for the 1990's
- Charles Schwab How to be Your Own Stockbroker
- John A. Straley What About Mutual Funds
- Andrew Tobias [Still] Only [other] Investment Guide You'll Ever Need
- (3 books, very similar titles)
- Train Money Masters, New Money Masters
- Venita Van Caspel Money Dynamics for the 1990s
- Richard Wurman et al. Wall Strt Jrnl Guide to Understanding Money & Markets
- Martin Zweig Winning on Wall Street
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Bull and Bear Lore
- Last-Revised: 19 Jan 1994
- From: orwant@home.media.mit.edu
-
- This information is paraphrased from _The Wall Street Journal Guide to
- Understanding Money & Markets_ by Wurman, Siegel, and Morris, 1990.
-
- One common myth is that the terms "bull market" and "bear market" are
- derived from the way those animals attack a foe, because bears attack
- by swiping their paws downward and bulls toss their horns upward.
- This is a useful mnemonic, but is not the true origin of the terms.
-
- Long ago, "bear skin jobbers" were known for selling bear skins that
- they did not own; i.e., the bears had not yet been caught. This was
- the original source of the term "bear." This term eventually was used
- to describe short sellers, speculators who sold shares that they did
- not own, bought after a price drop, and then delivered the shares.
-
- Because bull and bear baiting were once popular sports, "bulls" was
- understood as the opposite of "bears." I.e., the bulls were those
- people who bought in the expectation that a stock price would rise,
- not fall.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Buying and Selling Stock Without a Broker
- Last-Revised: 27 Sep 1993
- From: antonio@qualcomm.com, henryc@panix.com
-
- Yes, you can buy/sell stock from/to a friend, relative or acquaintance
- without going through a broker. Call the company, talk to their investor
- relations person, and ask who the Transfer Agent for the stock is. The
- Transfer Agent is the person who accomplishes the transfer, i.e., by
- issuing new certificates with the buyer's name on them. The transfer
- agent is paid by the company to issue new certificates, and to keep
- track of who owns the company's stock. The name of the Transfer Agent
- is probably printed on your stock certificates, but it might have changed,
- so it is best to call and check.
-
- The back of the certificate contains a stock power, i.e., those words
- that say you want the shares to be transferred. Fill out the transferee
- portion with the desired name, address, and tax id number to be registered.
- Sign the stock power exactly as the certificate is registered: joint
- tenancy will require signatures from all the people listed, stock that
- was issued in maiden name must be signed as such, etc. In addition to
- signing, you must get your signature(s) guaranteed. The signature
- guarantee is an obscure ritual. It is similar to a notary public, but
- different. The people who can provide a signature guarantee are banks
- and stock brokers who are members of an exchange. Now, your stock
- broker might not be too happy to see you and help you when you are
- trying to avoid paying a commission, so I suggest you get the guarantee
- from your bank. It's very easy. Someone at the bank checks your
- signature card to see if your signature looks right and then applies
- a little rubber stamp. Also, if you have the time, have the transferee
- fill out a W-9 form to avoid any TEFRA withholding. W-9 forms are
- available from any bank or broker.
-
- Then send it all to the transfer agent. The agent will usually recommend
- sending securities registered mail and insuring for 2% of the total value.
- For safety, many people send the endorsement in a separate envelope from
- the stock certificate, rather than using the back of the stock certificate
- (if you do this, include a note that says so.) SEC regulations require
- transfer agents to comply with a 3 business day turn-around time for 90%
- of the stock transfers received in good standing. In a few days, the buyer
- gets a stock certificate in the mail. Poof!
-
- There is no law requiring you to use a broker to buy or sell stock, except
- in certain very special circumstances, such as restricted stock, or
- unregistered stock. As long as the stock being sold has been registered
- with the SEC (and all stock sold on the exchanges, NASDAQ, etc. has been
- registered by the company), then the public can buy and sell it at will.
- If you go out and create yourself a corporation (Brooklyn Bridge Inc),
- do not register your stock with the SEC, and then start selling stock in
- your company to a bunch of individuals, advertising it, etc, then you can
- easily violate many SEC regulations designed to protect the unsuspecting
- public. But this is very different than selling the ordinary registered
- stuff. If you own stock in a company that was issued prior to the time
- the company went public, depending on a variety of conditions in the SEC
- regulations, that stock may be restricted, and restricted stock requires
- some special procedures when it is sold.
-
- In brief: I do not believe that the guy who offers to sell people 1 share
- of Disney stock is violating any rules. Just for full disclosure: I'm not
- a lawyer.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Computing the Rate of Return on Monthly Investments
- Last-Revised: 4 Apr 1993
- From: jedwards@ms.uky.edu
-
- Q: Assume $X is invested at the beginning of the year into some mutual
- fund or like account, with $Y added to the account every month.
- Now, down the road, if the value at any given month "i" is Vi, what
- conclusions can be drawn from it ?
-
- The relevant formula is F = P(1+i)**n - p((1+i)**n - 1)/i
- where F is the future value of your investment (i.e., the value after
- n periods), P is the present value of your investment (i.e., the amount
- of money you invest initially), p is the payment each period (p is
- negative if you are adding money to your account and positive if you
- are taking money out of your account), n is the number of periods you
- are interested in, and i is the interest rate per period.
- You cannot manipulate this formula to get a formula for i; you have
- to use some sort of iterative method or buy a financial calculator.
-
- One thing to keep in mind is that i is the interest rate *per period*.
- You may need to compound the rate to obtain a number you can compare
- apples-to-apples with other rates. For instance, a 1 year CD paying
- 12% interest is not as good an investment as an investment paying 1%
- per month for a year. If you put $1000 into each, you'll have $1120
- in the CD at the end of the year but $1000*(1.01)**12 = $1126.82 in
- the other investment due to compounding. I always convert interest
- rates of any kind into a "simple 1-year CD equivalent" for the purposes
- of comparison.
-
- See also the 'irr' program, which has been posted to misc.invest, and
- which is now available on request from the compiler of this FAQ.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Computing Compound Return
- Last-Revised: 22 Jan 1993
- From: bakken@cs.arizona.edu, chen@digital.sps.mot.com
-
- To calculate the compounded return, just figure out the factor by which
- the investment multiplied. Say $1000 went to $3200 in 10 years.
- Take the 10th root of 3.2 (the multiplying factor) and you get a
- compounded return of 1.1233498 (12.3% per year). To see that this works,
- note that 1.1233498**10 = 3.2.
-
- Another way of saying the same thing: In my calculation, I assume all
- the gains are reinvested so following formula applies:
- TR = (1 + AR) ** YR
- where TR is total return, AR is annualized return, and YR is year. To
- calculate annualized return otherwise, following formula applies:
- AR = (10 ** (Log TR/ YR)) - 1
- Thus a total return of 950% in 20 years would be equivalent of 11.914454%
- annualized return.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Derivatives
- Last-Revised: 28 Feb 1994
- From: bob_costa@delphi.com, williams@vierzk.bates.scarolina.edu
-
- A derivative is a financial instrument that does not constitute ownership,
- but a promise to convey ownership. The most simple example is a call
- option on a stock. In the case of a call option, the risk is that the
- person who writes the call (sells it and assumes the risk) may not be
- in business to live up to their promise when the time comes. In
- standarized options sold through the Options Clearing House, there are
- supposed to be sufficient safeguards for the small investor against this.
-
- What really concerns regulators is the fact that big banks swap all kinds
- of promises all the time, like interest rate swaps, froward currency swaps,
- options on futures, etc. They try to balance all these promises (hedging),
- but there is the big danger that one big player will go bankrupt and leave
- lots of people holding worthless promises. Such a collapse could cascade,
- as more and more speculators (banks) cannot meet their obligations because
- they were counting on the defaulted contract to protect them from losses.
-
- All of this is done off the books, so there is no total on how much
- exposure each bank has under a specific scenario. Some of the more
- complicated derivatives try to simulate a specific event by tracking it
- with other events (that will *usually* go in the same or the opposite
- direction). Examples are buying Japan stocks to protect against a loss in
- the US. However, if the *usual* correlation changes, big losses can be
- the result.
-
- The big danger with the big banks is that while they can use derivitives
- to hedge risk, they can also use them as a way of taking ON risk. Not
- that risk is bad. Risk s how a bank makes money, for example issuing
- loans is a risk. However, banks are forbidden from taking on risk with
- derivatives. It's just too easy for a bank to hedge bonds with derivitives
- that don't have the same maturity, same underlying security, etc. so the
- correlation between the hedge and the risky position is weak.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Discount Brokers
- Last-Revised: 2 Feb 1994
- From: davida@bonnie.ics.uci.edu, edwardz@ecs.comm.mot.com, gary@intrepid.com,
- tima@cfsmo.honeywell.com
-
- A discount broker is merely a way to save money for people who are looking
- out for themselves.
-
- According to Charles Schwab, the big difference between them and "the other
- guys" is that there is no analyst sitting in the back that will call you up
- and encourage you to purchase a stock. They have people there that can
- provide good financial advice--but only if you ask. If you walk in the door
- and say "I want to buy XXX", that's what they'll do.
-
- All transactions with E-Trade are apparently initiated through either touch-
- tone phone or computer. They are particularly cheap ($0.015/share, min $35).
-
- List of US discount brokers and phone numbers:
-
- Accutrade First National 800 762 5555
- K. Aufhauser & Co. 800 368 3668
- Brown & Co. 800 343 4300
- Fidelity Brokerage 800 544 7272
- Fleet Brokerage 800 221 8210
- Kennedy, Cabot, & Co. 800 252 0090 213 550 0711
- Lombard 800 688 3462
- Barry Murphy & Co. 800 221 2111
- Olde Discount 800 USA OLDE
- Pacific Brokerage Service 800 421 8395 213 939 1100
- Andrew Peck Associates 800 221 5873 212 363 3770
- Quick & Reilly 800 456 4049
- Charles Schwab & Co. 800 442 5111
- Scottsdale Securities 800 727 1995 818 440 9957
- Stock Cross 800 225 6196 617 367 5700
- Vanguard Discount 800 662 SHIP
- Waterhouse Securities 800 765 5185
- Jack White & Co. 800 233 3411
- E-Trade 800 786 2573 415 326 2700
-
- Here is a table to compare commissions at various discount brokers. This is
- based on commission schedules gotten at various times in 1991 and 1992.
- These tables are for stocks only, not bonds or other investments.
-
- $2000 trades
- Firm 400@ 5 200@ 10 100@ 20 50@ 40 25@ 80
- K. Aufhauser $ 43.49 $ 27.49 $ 25.49 $ 25.49 $ 25.49
- Pacific Brokerage $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00
- Jack White & Co. $ 45.00 $ 39.00 $ 36.00 $ 34.50 $ 33.75
- Kennedy, Cabot, & Co. $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 23.00 $ 23.00
- Bidwell & Co. $ 41.25 $ 31.25 $ 27.25 $ 25.75 $ 23.50
- Quick & Reilly $ 50.00 $ 50.00 $ 49.00 $ 49.00 $ 49.00
- Olde Discount $ 35.00 $ 50.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00
- Vanguard Discount $ 57.00 $ 57.00 $ 48.00 $ 40.00 $ 40.00
- Fidelity Brokerage $ 63.50 $ 63.50 $ 54.00 $ 54.00 $ 54.00
- Charles Schwab $ 64.00 $ 64.00 $ 55.00 $ 55.00 $ 55.00
- E-Trade $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00
-
- $8000 trades
- Firm 1600@ 5 800@ 10 400@ 20 200@ 40 100@ 80
- K. Aufhauser $ 90.50 $ 61.50 $ 43.49 $ 27.49 $ 25.49
- Pacific Brokerage $ 36.00 $ 44.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00 $ 29.00
- Jack White & Co. $ 81.00 $ 57.00 $ 45.00 $ 39.00 $ 36.00
- Kennedy, Cabot, & Co. $ 83.00 $ 43.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00 $ 33.00
- Bidwell & Co. $ 84.75 $ 56.75 $ 45.25 $ 39.25 $ 30.25
- Quick & Reilly $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 79.00 $ 49.00
- Olde Discount $ 67.50 $ 95.00 $ 70.00 $ 60.00 $ 40.00
- Vanguard Discount $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 82.00 $ 48.00
- Fidelity Brokerage $ 109.00 $ 102.70 $ 102.70 $ 102.70 $ 54.00
- Charles Schwab $ 120.00 $ 103.20 $ 103.20 $ 103.20 $ 55.00
- E-Trade $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00
-
- $32000 trades
- Firm 6400@ 5 3200@ 10 1600@ 20 800@ 40 400@ 80
- K. Aufhauser $ 194.50 $ 138.50 $ 90.50 $ 72.50 $ 67.50
- Pacific Brokerage $ 132.00 $ 68.00 $ 36.00 $ 44.00 $ 29.00
- Jack White & Co. $ 161.00 $ 97.00 $ 81.00 $ 57.00 $ 45.00
- Kennedy, Cabot, & Co. $ 131.00 $ 99.00 $ 83.00 $ 43.00 $ 33.00
- Bidwell & Co. $ 252.75 $ 140.75 $ 100.75 $ 88.75 $ 57.25
- Quick & Reilly $ 222.00 $ 131.40 $ 131.40 $ 131.40 $ 131.40
- Olde Discount $ 187.50 $ 215.00 $ 135.00 $ 115.00 $ 90.00
- Vanguard Discount $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00 $ 156.00
- Fidelity Brokerage $ 301.00 $ 173.00 $ 169.90 $ 169.90 $ 169.90
- Charles Schwab $ 360.00 $ 200.00 $ 170.40 $ 170.40 $ 170.40
- E-Trade $ 96.00 $ 48.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00 $ 35.00
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Dividends on Stock and Mutual Funds
- Last-Revised: 22 Mar 1993
- From: ask@cblph.att.com
-
- A company may periodically declare cash and/or stock dividends.
- This article deals with cash dividends on common stock. Two
- paragraphs also discuss dividends on Mutual Fund shares. A
- separate article elsewhere in this FAQ discusses stock splits
- and stock dividends.
-
- The Board of Directors of a company decides if it will declare a
- dividend, how often it will declare it, and the dates associated
- with the dividend. Quarterly payment of dividends is very common,
- annually or semiannually is less common, and many companies don't
- pay dividends at all. Other companies from time to time will
- declare an extra or special dividend. Mutual funds sometimes
- declare a year-end dividend and maybe one or more other dividends.
-
- If the Board declares a dividend, it will announce that the dividend
- (of a set amount) will be paid to shareholders of record as of the
- RECORD DATE and will be paid or distributed on the DISTRIBUTION
- DATE (sometimes called the Payable Date).
-
- In order to be a shareholder of record on the RECORD DATE you must
- own the shares on that date (when the books close for that day).
- Since virtually all stock trades by brokers on exchanges are
- settled in 5 (business) days, you must buy the shares at least
- 5 days before the RECORD DATE in order to be the shareholder of
- record on the RECORD DATE. So the (RECORD DATE - 5 days) is the
- day that the shareholder of record needs to own the stock to
- collect the dividend. He can sell it the very next day and still
- get the dividend.
-
- If you bought it at least 5 business days before the RECORD date
- and still owned it at the end of the RECORD DATE, you get the
- dividend. (Even if you ask your broker to sell it the day after
- the (RECORD DATE - 5 days), it will not have settled until after
- the RECORD DATE so you will own it on the RECORD DATE.)
-
- So someone who buys the stock on the (RECORD DATE - 4 days) does
- not get the dividend. A stock paying a 50c quarterly dividend might
- well be expected to trade for 50c less on that date, all things
- being equal. In other words, it trades for its previous price,
- EXcept for the DIVidend. So the (RECORD DATE - 4 days) is often
- called the EX-DIV date. In the financial listings, that is
- indicated by an x.
-
- How can you try to predict what the dividend will be before it is
- declared?
-
- Many companies declare regular dividends every quarter, so if you
- look at the last dividend paid, you can guess the next dividend
- will be the same. Exception: when the Board of IBM, for example,
- announces it can no longer guarantee to maintain the dividend, you
- might well expect the dividend to drop, drastically, next quarter.
- The financial listings in the newspapers show the expected annual
- dividend, and other listings show the dividends declared by Boards
- of directors the previous day, along with their dates.
-
- Other companies declare less regular dividends, so try to look at
- how well the company seems to be doing. Companies whose shares
- trade as ADRs (American Depository Receipts -- see article elsewhere
- in this FAQ) are very dependent on currency market fluctuations, so
- will pay differing amounts from time to time.
-
- Some companies may be temporarily prohibited from paying dividends
- on their common stock, usually because they have missed payments on
- their bonds and/or preferred stock.
-
- On the DISTRIBUTION DATE shareholders of record on the RECORD date
- will get the dividend. If you own the shares yourself, the company
- will mail you a check. If you participate in a DRIP (Dividend
- ReInvestment Plan, see article on DRIPs elsewhere in this FAQ) and
- elect to reinvest the dividend, you will have the dividend credited
- to your DRIP account and purchase shares, and if your stock is held
- by your broker for you, the broker will receive the dividend from
- the company and credit it to your account.
-
- Dividends on preferred stock work very much like common stock,
- except they are much more predictable.
-
- Tax implications:
-
- Some Mutual Funds may delay paying their year-end dividend until
- early January. However, the IRS requires that those dividends be
- constructively paid at the end of the previous year. So in these
- cases, you might find that a dividend paid in January was included
- in the previous year's 1099-DIV.
-
- Sometime before January 31 of the next year, whoever paid the
- dividend will send you and the IRS a Form 1099-DIV to help you
- report this dividend income to the IRS.
-
- Sometimes -- often with Mutual Funds -- a portion of the dividend
- might be treated as a non-taxable distribution or as a capital gains
- distribution. The 1099-DIV will list the Gross Dividends (in line 1a)
- and will also list any non-taxable and capital gains distributions.
- Enter the Gross Dividends (line 1a) on Schedule B.
-
- Subtract the non-taxable distributions as shown on Schedule B
- and decrease your cost basis in that stock by the amount of
- non-taxable distributions (but not below a cost basis of zero --
- you can deduct non-taxable distributions only while the running
- cost basis is positive.) Deduct the capital gains distributions
- as shown on Schedule B, and then add them back in on Schedule D if
- you file Schedule D, else on the front of Form 1040.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Dollar Cost and Value Averaging
- Last-Revised: 11 Dec 1992
- From: suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com
-
- Dollar Cost Averaging purchases a fixed dollar amount each transaction
- (usually monthly via a mutual fund). When the fund declines, you
- purchase slightly more shares, and slightly less on increases. It
- turns out that you lower your average cost slightly, assuming the
- fund fluctuates up and down.
-
- Value Averaging adjusts the amount invested, up or down, to meet a
- prescribed target. An example should clarify: Suppose you are going
- to invest $200 per month and at the end of the first month, your $200
- has shrunk to $190. Then you add in $210 the next month, bringing the
- value to $400 (2*$200). Similarly, if the fund is worth $430 at the
- end of the second month, you only put in $170 to bring it up to the
- $600 target. What happens is that compared to dollar cost averaging,
- you put in more when prices are down, and less when prices are up.
-
- Dollar Cost Averaging takes advantage of the non-linearity of the 1/x
- curve (for those of you who are more mathematically inclined). Value
- Averaging just goes in a little deeper when the value is down (which
- implies that prices are down) and in a little less when value is up.
- An article in the American Association of Individual Investors showed
- via computer simulation that value averaging would outperform dollar-
- cost averaging about 95% of the time. "Outperform" is a rather vague
- term. As best as I remember, whatever the percentage gain of dollar-
- cost averaging versus buying 100% initially, value averaging would
- produce another 2 percent or so.
-
- Warning: Neither approach will bail you out of a declining market nor
- get you in on a bull market.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Dollar Bill Presidents
- Last-Revised: 19 Aug 1993
- From: par@ceri.memst.edu, pmd@cbnews.cb.att.com
-
- $1 - George Washington
- $2 - Thomas Jefferson
- $5 - Abraham Lincoln
- $10 - Alexander Hamilton
- $20 - Andrew Jackson
- $50 - Ulysses S. Grant
- $100 - Benjamin Franklin
- $500 - William McKinley
- $1,000 - Grover Cleveland
- $5,000 - James Madison
- $10,000 - Salmon P. Chase
- $100,000 - Woodrow Wilson
-
- [ Ok, so it's trivia. - Ed. ]
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Dramatic Stock Price Increases and Decreases
- Last-Revised: 12 Jan 1994
- From: lwest@futserv.austin.ibm.com, suhre@trwrb.dsd.trw.com
-
- One frequently asked question is "Why did &my_stock go [down][up] by
- &large_amount in the past &short_time?"
-
- The purpose of this answer is not to discourage you from asking this
- question in misc.invest, although if you ask without having done any
- homework, you may receive a gentle barb or two. Rather, one purpose
- is to inform you that you may not get an answer because in many cases
- no one knows.
-
- Stocks often lurch upward and downward by sizable amounts with no
- apparent reason, sometimes with no fundamental change in the underlying
- company. If this happens to your stock and you can find no reason,
- you should merely use this event to alert you to watch the stock more
- closely for a month or two. The zig (or zag) may have meaning, or it
- may have merely been a burp.
-
- A related question is whether stock XYZ, which used to trade at 40 and
- just dropped to 25, is good buy. The answer is, possibly. Buying
- stocks just because they look "cheap" isn't generally a good idea.
- All too often they look cheaper later on. (IBM looked "cheap" at 80
- in 1991 after it declined from 140 or so. The stock finally bottomed
- in the 40's. Amgen slid from 78 to the low 30's in about 6 months,
- looking "cheap" along the way.) Technical analysis principles suggest
- to wait for XYZ to demonstrate that it has quit going down and is
- showing some sign of strength, perhaps purchasing in the 28 range.
- If you are expecting a return to 40, you can give up a few points
- initially. If your fundamental analysis shows 25 to be an undervalued
- price, you might enter in. Rarely do stocks have a big decline and a
- big move back up in the space of a few days. You will almost surely
- have time to wait and see if the market agrees with your valuation
- before you purchase.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Direct Investing and DRIPS
- Last-Revised: 9 Nov 1993
- From: BKOTTMANN@falcon.aamrl.wpafb.af.mil, das@impulse.ece.ucsb.edu,
- jsb@meaddata.com, murphy@rock.enet.dec.com, johnl@iecc.com
-
- DRIPS offer an easy, low-cost way for buying stocks. Various companies
- (lists are available through NAIC and some brokerages) allow you to
- purchase shares directly from the company and thereby avoid brokerage
- commissions. However, you must purchase the first share through a
- broker, NAIC, or other conventional means. In all cases, that first
- share must be registered in your name, not in street name. (A practical
- restriction here is that for some common kinds of accounts like IRAs
- and Keoghs, you can't participate in a DRIP since the stock has to be
- held by the custodian.) Once you have that first share, additional
- shares can be purchased through the DRIP either through dividend
- reinvestments or directly by sending in a check. Thus the two names
- for DRIP: Dividend/Direct Re-Investment Plan. The periodic purchase
- also allows you to automatically dollar-cost-average the purchase of
- the stock.
-
- A handful of companies sell their stock directly to the public without
- going through an exchange or broker even for the first share. These
- companies are all exchange listed as well, and tend to be utilities.
-
- Money Magazine from Nov (or Dec) 92 reports that the brokerage house
- A.G. Edwards has a special commission rate for purchases of single
- shares. They charge a flat 16% of the share price. However,
- contributors to this FAQ report that some (all?) of the AGE offices
- provide this service only for current account holders.
-
- Published material on DRIPS:
- + _Guide to Dividend Reinvestment Plans_
- Lists over a one hundred companies that offer DRIP's. The number
- given for the company is 800-443-6900; the cost is $9.00 (charge to CC)
- and they will send you the DRIPs booklet and a copy of a newsletter
- called the Money Paper.
-
- + _Low cost/No cost investing_ (author forgotten)
- Lists about 300-400 companies that offer DRIPs.
-
- + _Buying Stocks Without a Broker_ by Charles B. Carlson.
- Lists 900 companies/closed end funds that offer DRIPS. Included is a
- profile of the company and some plan specifics. These are: if partial
- reinvestment of dividends are allowed, discounts on stock purchased
- with dividends, optional cash payment amount and frequency, fees,
- approximate number of shareholders in the plan.
-
- [ Compiler's note: It seems to me that a listing of the hundreds or
- more companies that offer DRIPS belongs in its own FAQ, and I will not
- reprint other people's copyrighted lists. Please don't send me lists
- of companies that offer DRIPS. ]
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Free Information
- Last-Revised: 14 Mar 94
- From: bfduerr@mmm.com
-
- Here are some secrets from the self-proclaimed "King of Cheap/Free
- Information."
-
- 1. Local Companies: Look in your local newspapers for information
- and stories about the companies in your immediate area. I have found
- that our local papers carry some great articles about our local
- companies long before the WSJ or other papers pick up on them. The
- local papers tend to report very minute details that the "big" papers
- never report. The local paper that I get covers insider buys/sells,
- IPOs etc., management changes, detailed earnings reports, analyst
- opinions, you name it.
-
- 2. "Stocks on Call": This is a GREAT freebie. If you have a
- touch-tone phone and access to a FAX machine then you can download
- lots of stories about companies and they are FREE. Their number is
- 1-800-578-7888. The information is biased because it is sponsored by
- the listing companies, but it is free, so you get what you pay for.
- Once a week or so I call them and I get a list of companies that they
- have stories on. Once you have the list then you can call and get 3
- stories per call sent directly to your FAX. It is all handled by
- computer (usually). The only drawback is that it they may/probably
- won't have everything/anything about the companies you are interested
- in. I have gotten some great tips from here.....nice fast growing
- small companies (and some F-500s too).
-
- 3. Stock Charts: I get at least one copy of Investor's Business Daily
- per week. The Friday edition is particularly great. They have a lot
- of charts on some stocks with good movement and so I cut those out
- that I am interested in and file them away. IBD is available in most
- areas at newsstands, bookstores etc. and is a good newspaper for its
- charts.
-
- 4. Archive Information: For historical information, I save one copy
- of Barron's or WSJ or IBD each month. If I see a company that I am
- suddenly interested in then I can just open up those old editions and
- get some pretty good historical data. IBD is great for this.
-
- 5. An Important Edition of Wall St. Journal: I think it is imperative
- to get a copy of the WSJ that covers the year in review. This edition
- comes out usually on the first business day of the new year. It
- contains a lot of information about how each stock has performed
- during that last year, including the % movement of the stock during
- the past year. I get two copies of this paper because I get so much
- out of them (one for work, one for home).
-
- 6. SEC on Internet: See the entry for Edgar elsewhere in this FAQ.
-
- 7. Writing Letters: If you are interested in a company then get
- their address and write them a letter. If you have a non-discount
- broker then they can get you the company's address. Otherwise go to
- virtually any library and they will be able to help you find the
- addresses you are interested in. When you write to a company, tell
- them you are interested in investing in them and you want to learn
- more about them. Ask for 10Ks, annual reports, 10Qs, quarterly
- summaries, analyst reports and anything else they can send you. Some
- companies will bury you with information if you just ask. Ask them to
- add your name to their mailing list for future information. Many
- companies maintain active mailing lists and so the information will
- keep flowing to you. All this for only $0.29.
-
- 8. Reader Service Cards in Investor's Daily or other places: Another
- reason I like to get the Friday edition of IBD is because they usually
- have a bunch of companies hyping themselves and offering information
- if you send in a reader service card. This is another great almost
- freebie. For $0.29 you can usually find at least 3-5 companies that
- are worth finding out about.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Future and Present Value of Money
- Last-Revised: 28 Jan 94
- From: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- This note explains briefly two concepts concerning the time-value-of-money,
- namely future and present value.
-
- * Future value is simply the sum to which a dollar amount invested today
- will grow given some appreciation rate. The formula for future value
- is the formula from Case 1 of present value (below), but solved for the
- future-sum rather than the present value.
-
- To compute the future value of a sum invested today, the formula for
- interest that is compounded monthly is:
- fv = principal * (1 + rrate/12) ** (12 * termy)
- where
- principal = dollar value you have now
- termy = term, in years
- rrate = annual rate of return in decimal (i.e., use .05 for 5%)
-
- For interest that is compounded annually, use the formula:
- fv = principal * (1 + rrate) ** (termy)
-
- Example:
- I invest 1,000 today at 10% for 10 years compounded monthly.
- The future value of this amount is 2707.04.
-
- * Present value is the value in today's dollars assigned to an amount of
- money in the future, based on some estimate rate-of-return over the long-term.
- In this analysis, rate-of-return is calculated based on monthly compounding.
-
- Two cases of present value are discussed next. Case 1 involves a single
- sum that stays invested over time. Case 2 involves a cash stream that is
- paid regularly over time (e.g., rent payments), and requires that you also
- calculate the effects of inflation.
-
- Case 1a: Present value of money invested over time. This tells you what a
- future sum is worth today, given some rate of return over the time
- between now and the future. Another way to read this is that you
- must invest the present value today at the rate-of-return to have
- some future sum in some years from now (but this only considers the
- raw dollars, not the purchasing power).
-
- To compute the present value of an invested sum, the formula for
- interest that is compounded monthly is:
- future-sum
- pv = ----------------------------------
- (1 + rrate/12) ** (12 * termy)
- where
- future-sum = dollar value you want in termy years
- termy = term, in years
- rrate = annual rate of return that you can expect, in decimal
-
- Example:
- I need to have 10,000 in 5 years. The present value of 10,000
- assuming an 8% monthly compounded rate-of-return is 6712.10.
- I.e., 6712 will grow to 10k in 5 years at 8%.
-
- Case 1b: This formulation can also be used to estimate the effects of
- inflation; i.e., compute real purchasing power of present and
- future sums. Simply use an estimated rate of inflation instead
- of a rate of return for the rrate variable in the equation.
-
- Example:
- In 30 years I will receive 1,000,000 (a gigabuck). What is
- that amount of money worth today (what is the buying power),
- assuming a rate of inflation of 4.5%? The answer is 259,895.65
-
- Case 2: Present value of a cash stream. This tells you the cost in
- today's dollars of money that you pay over time. Usually the
- payments that you make increase over the term. Basically, the
- money you pay in 10 years is worth less than that which you pay
- tomorrow, and this equation lets you compute just how much.
-
- In this analysis, inflation is compounded yearly. A reasonable
- estimate for long-term inflation is 4.5%, but inflation has
- historically varied tremendously by country and time period.
-
- To compute the present value of a cash stream, the formula is:
- month = 12*termy paymt * (1 + irate) ** int ((month - 1)/ 12)
- pv = SUM ---------------------------------------------
- month = 1 (1 + rrate/12) ** (month - 1)
- where
- month = month number
- termy = term, in years
- paymt = monthly payment, in dollars
- irate = rate of inflation (increase in payment/year), in decimal
- rrate = rate of return on money that you can expect, in decimal
- int() function = keep integral part; compute yr nr from mo nr
-
- Example:
- You pay $500/month in rent over 10 years and estimate that
- inflation is 4.5% over the period (your payment increases with
- inflation.) Present value is 49,530.57
-
- Two small C programs for computing future and present value are available
- from the compiler of this FAQ. Simply mail a note with any subject and
- contents to the following address: lott=invest@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Getting Rich Quickly
- Last-Revised: 18 Jul 1993
- From: jim@doink.b23b.ingr.com
-
- Take this with a lot of :-) 's.
-
- Legal methods:
- 1. Marry someone who is already rich.
- 2. Have a rich person die and will you their money.
- 3. Strike oil.
- 4. Discover gold.
- 5. Win the lottery.
-
- Illegal methods:
- 6. Rob a bank.
- 7. Blackmail someone who is rich.
- 8. Kidnap someone who is rich and get a big ransom.
- 9. Become a drug dealer.
-
- For completeness sakes:
- 10. "If you really want to make a lot of money, start your own religion."
- - L. Ron Hubbard
-
- Hubbard made that statement when he was just a science fiction writer in
- either the '30s or '40s. He later founded the Church of Scientology.
- I believe he also wrote Dianetics.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Charles Givens
- Last-Revised: 18 Nov 1993
- From: Chris.Hynes@launchpad.unc.edu, mincy@think.com, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
-
- Charles J. Givens, born in 1941, is a self-styled investment guru who
- regularly appears in info-mercials on late-night television to tell
- the world about the fortunes he has made and lost, his free seminars
- run by his associates, and the Charles J. Givens Organization.
-
- Givens offers investment advice through his seminars and publications.
- He has written several best-selling books:
- Wealth Without Risk (1988)
- Financial Self-Defense (1990)
- More Wealth Without Risk (1991)
-
- Membership in his organization is offered for about $400 up front and
- subsequent dues of $80 a year. According to reference (2), a member
- of his organization receives printed materials, videotapes, and audio
- tapes which describe financial strategies. The organization publishes
- a monthly newsletter. Telephone advice is also offered to members.
-
- His advice is generally simplistic and sometimes contradictory. All
- examples are taken from Wealth Without Risk, as cited in Reference (4).
- Simplistic: number 210, don't buy bonds when interest rates are rising.
- Contradictory: number 206, do not put your money in vacant land;
- number 245, invest your IRA or Keogh money in vacant land.
-
- Givens offers some helpful advice but contrary to the titles of his books,
- his ideas can be extremely risky. For example, some of his suggestions
- about insurance, especially dropping uninsured motorist coverage from
- one's automobile insurance, may leave people underinsured and vulnerable
- in case of an accident unless they are very careful about reading their
- policies and asking hard questions. He also makes aggressive inter-
- pretations of tax law, interpretations which might get one in trouble
- with the IRS. Prospective followers of Givens must, absolutely must,
- read about recent successful lawsuits against Givens as well as his
- criminal convictions and other disclosures about him and his organization.
- See below for exact references. In conclusion: his advice is simply
- not appropriate for everyone.
-
- References:
-
- (1) _Smart Money_, August 1993.
-
- (2) The Wall Street Journal, ``Pitching Dreams,'' 08/05/91, Page A1.
-
- (3) The Wall Street Journal, ``Enterprise: Proliferating Get-Rich Shows
- Scrutinized,'' 04/19/90, Page B1.
-
- (4) The Wall Street Journal, ``Double or Nothing,'' 02/15/90, Page A12.
-
- (5) The Wall Street Journal, `` Tax Report: A Special Summary and Forecast
- Of Federal and State Tax Developments,'' 11/01/89.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Subject: Goodwill
- Last-Revised: 18 Jul 1993
- From: keefej@panix.com
-
- Goodwill is an asset that is created when one company acquires another.
- It represents the difference between the price the acquiror pays and
- the "fair market value" of the acquired company's assets. For example,
- if JerryCo bought Ford Motor for $15 billion, and the accountants
- determined that Ford's assets (plant and equipment) were worth $13
- billion, $2 billion of the purchase price would be allocated to goodwill
- on the balance sheet. In theory the goodwill is the value of the
- acquired company over and above the hard assets, and it is usually
- thought to represent the value of the acquired company's "franchise,"
- that is, the loyalty of its customers, the expertise of its employees;
- namely, the intangible factors that make people do business with the
- company.
-
- What is the effect on book value? Well, book value usually tries to
- measure the liquidation value of a company -- what you could sell it
- for in a hurry. The accountants look only at the fair market value of
- the hard assets, thus goodwill is usually deducted from total assets
- when book value is calculated.
-
- For most companies in most industries, book value is next to meaningless,
- because assets like plant and equipment are on the books at their old
- historical costs, rather than current values. But since it's an easy
- number to calculate, and easy to understand, lots of investors (both
- professional and amateur) use it in deciding when to buy and sell stocks.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Compilation Copyright (c) 1994 by Christopher Lott, lott@informatik.uni-kl.de
- --
- "Christopher Lott / Email: lott@informatik.uni-kl.de / Tel: +49 (631) 205-3334"
- "Adresse: FB Informatik - Bau 57 / Universitaet KL / D--67653 Kaiserslautern"
-