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- Path: sparky!uunet!haven.umd.edu!darwin.sura.net!newsserver.jvnc.net!yale.edu!nigel.msen.com!heifetz!rotag!kevin
- From: kevin@rotag.mi.org (Kevin Darcy)
- Subject: Re: A Modest Proposal: Illegitimate-conception Tax
- Message-ID: <1993Jan23.203625.19535@rotag.mi.org>
- Organization: Who, me???
- References: <1jl8beINNf5m@mirror.digex.com> <1993Jan21.160755.6249@rotag.mi.org> <1jmu8bINNbs3@gap.caltech.edu>
- Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1993 20:36:25 GMT
- Lines: 83
-
- In article <1jmu8bINNbs3@gap.caltech.edu> peri@cco.caltech.edu (Michal Leah Peri) writes:
- >kevin@rotag.mi.org (Kevin Darcy) writes:
- >
- >>In article <1jl8beINNf5m@mirror.digex.com> adric@access.digex.com (William Johnson) writes:
- >>How do you think paternity is determined NOW?
- >
- >Usually it *isn't*. Usually paternity is not contested, so that there
- >is no need for "determination.
-
- And what makes you think this would change, in the case of illegitimate-
- births?
-
- >Your proposal would require paternity to
- >be determined for every conception. That would cost alot.
-
- See above. I see no reason to believe that the percentage of men contesting
- paternity would go up if this Tax existed. If anything, the percentage should
- go DOWN, since the men affected have less at stake even if they lose the
- paternity suit.
-
- >>William, you are part of the so-called "irresponsible" segment of the
- >>population who conceive a child out of wedlock, and decide to carry it to
- >>term. This is not a personal condemnation, just an observation. Your segment
- >>of the population is a problem. You create children which are FAR more
- >>likely to need welfare, FAR more likely to live in unsafe and unsanitary
- >>conditions, FAR more likely to get involved with drugs and crime, FAR less
- >>likely to complete their education, FAR more likely to be unemployed, (at
- >>least, this is my understanding, solid statistics to the contrary welcomed).
- >>None of these things may apply to your family specifically, but they do
- >>apply to your segment.
- >
- >Kevin, haven't you ever heard the truism: the first one can come at
- >any time, the rest usually take 9 months. It soesn't sound to me like
- >Will is part of the problem. It sounds to me like he and his fiance are
- >taking responsibility for their actions. Who cares whether the child was
- >conceived 6 mos before the wedding, or 6 mos after. The important thing
- >is that it has 2 parents who are committed to taking good care of it.
-
- Not to be a jinx or anything, but what if William and his fiancee break
- up tomorrow? Then the illegitimate child could VERY WELL end up as "the
- problem", right? And the state is not about to get into the business of
- FORCING betrothed couples to follow through on their plans. The line has to
- be drawn somewhere, and I think it's perfectly reasonable for the state to
- say "if you're married when you conceive, you don't have to support the
- Welfare of illegitimate children, but if you're UNmarried when you conceive,
- then we'll expect you to contribute".
-
- >>By my calculations, those "few" would number maybe as much as 32 million
- >>taxpayers, if the proposal was implemented nationally. Given annual AFDC
- >>payouts of approximately 20 $billion, this would NOT appear to be an
- >>"unshoulderable" burden, even when the administrative overhead is added in.
- >
- >I *don't* buy your numbers.
- >
- >In 1989 (the last year for which I've seen numbers) the number of abortions
- >was 1.6M. The number of births was slightly less than that. Lets be
- >generous and say 4M identifiable conceptions (I'm including miscarriages,
- >IMO grossly unfair to further punish people who've suffered such misfortune!)
- >
- >If we accept your ADFC number of $2000M, the average tax bill would
- >be $20000M/4M=$5000/person. I consider that to be a non-negligible
- >amount of money.
-
- You missed a step there, Michal. The total pool of taxpaying couples (note:
- couples, not individuals, since each illegitimate conception reels in two
- taxpayers) is computed as the total yearly turnover, which you quote as
- 4 million, TIMES the number of years they are liable for the tax, i.e. 18.
- So, by your numbers, we have 72 million taxpaying couples in the pool. This
- is significantly more generous than my figure of 32 million taxpaying
- couples, which was based on a yearly turnover of 1.8 million illegitimate
- conceptions.
-
- Annual AFDC payouts of $20 billion, spread out over the pool of 72 million
- taxpaying couples, comes out to an average annual tax burden of less than
- $300 per couple, or, to put it another way, less than $25 per month.
-
- Is this an "unshoulderable burden"?
-
- Consider also that this is an income-graduated tax. Rich people pay a higher
- percentage, poor people a smaller percentage, perhaps even nothing if they
- are at or near the poverty line.
-
- - Kevin
-