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Internet Message Format  |  1993-01-27  |  969 b 
  1. Path: sparky!uunet!opl.com!hri.com!ukma!cs.widener.edu!dsinc!pitt.edu!wbdst
  2. From: wbdst+@pitt.edu (William B Dwinnell)
  3. Newsgroups: sci.math.stat
  4. Subject: Re: Desperate situation
  5. Message-ID: <2567@blue.cis.pitt.edu>
  6. Date: 26 Jan 93 19:43:43 GMT
  7. References: <1993Jan26.183234.20186@mksol.dseg.ti.com> <2564@blue.cis.pitt.edu>
  8. Sender: news+@pitt.edu
  9. Organization: University of Pittsburgh
  10. Lines: 14
  11.  
  12.  
  13. Assuming that you mean by the "average" person, the point at which half
  14. of the people have diesxxx (sorry, I did it again!) diesxsasdc
  15. died, the following progression applies:
  16. Turn number    Cumulative proportion of people dead
  17. 1                .1667
  18. 2                .3056
  19. 3                 .4213
  20. 4                .5177  <-- Oops! Half of 'em are dead! Yuck!
  21.   There may be a way to get an exact figure, like 3.9something something,
  22. but it escapes me at the moment...
  23. Any more questions?
  24. By the way a Monte Carlo simulation, or a Las Vegas simulation might
  25. help here...
  26.