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- Newsgroups: sci.econ
- From: radford@cs.toronto.edu (Radford Neal)
- Subject: Re: Inflation
- Message-ID: <93Jan27.152719edt.510a@neuron.ai.toronto.edu>
- Organization: Department of Computer Science, University of Toronto
- References: <38299@uflorida.cis.ufl.edu> <2104@blue.cis.pitt.edu> <38387@uflorida.cis.ufl.edu> <1993Jan27.162223.29959@gasco.com>
- Date: 27 Jan 93 20:27:48 GMT
- Lines: 28
-
- In article <1993Jan27.162223.29959@gasco.com> fpf@lyra.gasco.com (Frank Ferguson x3584) writes:
-
- >... Falling prices presents the producer with the
- >awkward situation of having produced a product which can only be sold
- >at a price lower than the sum of the prices of the inputs that went
- >into said product. This is not good business.
-
- I don't see this. If the business is profitable, then in a environment
- with neither inflation or deflation it will sell the goods for *more*
- than the cost of the inputs. Only if the deflation rate exceeds the
- prevailing rate of profit will there be a problem of the sort you outline.
- One would not expect such a high deflation rate to arise simply from keeping
- the supply of money fixed.
-
- In fact, to stay in business, a firm need only be able to buy the raw
- materials for the *next* cycle of production using the money obtained
- from selling the goods produced in the *last* cycle. It is quite
- irrelevant whether the amount of money obtained from selling the last
- cycle's goods is more or less than the amount spent on raw materials
- in that cycle, except in so far as that might be an indication of the
- prices for the next cycle. This means that a business should be
- able to continue operations even with large rates of deflation, though
- for deflation rates exceeding the rate of profit in the firm it might
- be to the owners advantage to liquidate the firm in favour of just holding
- on to the money (or investing it in some other business where the rate
- of profit is more than the deflation rate).
-
- Radford Neal
-