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- From: exudeb@exu.ericsson.se (Dave Breeding, xt-dGR,)
- Subject: Repost of Truzzi Lecture: How to Handle Scientific "Unorthodoxy"
- Message-ID: <1992Dec23.162858.5758@exu.ericsson.se>
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- Organization: Ericsson Network Systems, Richardson TX
- Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1992 16:28:58 GMT
- X-Disclaimer: This article was posted by a user at Ericsson.
- Any opinions expressed are strictly those of the
- user and not necessarily those of Ericsson.
- Lines: 345
-
- Here is a repost of an article I found on another list. Enjoy.
-
- *****************************************************************************
-
- An excerpt to illustrate what this lecture is about:
-
- "Charles Sanders Peirce required that the first and primary obligation of any
- philosopher or scientist is to do nothing that would block inquiry..."
-
- and
-
- "The most important thing here is that maverick ideas, unconventional claims,
- and anomalies must be viewed not as crises but as opportunities. Some of
- these claims, probably a small minority, will in fact turn out to have some
- substance because after all that is what drives science forward. Without
- anomalies and their validation, later incorporation, and explanation, we
- would not have any progress in science. We have a fundamental problem in
- science of somehow trying to balance openness with conservatism, and
- imagination and creativity with criticism. How can we keep science an open
- system?..."
-
-
-
- ******************************************************************************
-
- [The following article originally appeared in "Frontier Perspectives" (vol. 1
- number 2, Fall/Winter 1990), the newsletter of The Center for Frontier
- Sciences at Temple University, Dr. Beverly Rubik, Director. The address of
- the Center is: Ritter Hall 003-00, Philadelphia, PA 19122. The e-mail
- address is v2058a@templevm (Bitnet) and v2058a@vm.temple.edu (Internet).
-
- This article is posted here with the permission of the Center.]
-
-
-
- REFLECTIONS ON THE RECEPTION OF UNCONVENTIONAL CLAIMS IN SCIENCE
-
- November 29, 1989 Colloquium presented by Marcello Truzzi, Ph.D., Professor
- of Sociology at Eastern Michigan University at Ypsilanti, Michigan, and
- Director, Center for Scientific Anomalies Research, Ann Arbor, MI
-
- Reported by Simona Solovey
-
-
-
- As a sociologist of science I remain outside of the controversies surrounding
- unconventional claims in science. My committment is to the judicial process
- within the scientific community rather than the resolution of specific debates.
-
- My general concern is to try to foster an interdisciplinary program, best
- called anomalistics, on the study of facts that seem unexplained by our
- current models. In order to study anomalies in science we have to be
- interdisciplinary because we don't know ultimately where an anomaly will fit.
- For example, if it is a UFO, we don't know if it will contribute to astronomy,
- sociology, psychology, or meteorology in the end. An interdisciplinary
- approach to anomalies is absolutely necessary.
-
- There are three broad approaches to anomaly studies. The first approach is
- usually called the Fortean approach. It is generally characterized by what
- critics would call mystery mongering. The main problem with it is that if
- you give an explanation to a phenomenon, even if you agree with the existence
- of the anomaly, the representatives of this approach are unhappy because they
- prefer the idea of mystery.
-
- The second common approach is what critics usually call the debunkers'
- approach. This is the main attitude of the orthodox scientific community
- towards anomaly claims. It is characterized by the Committee for the
- Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal (CSICOP). "Whatever is
- claimed is nothing but ... something else." Seemingly anomalous phenomena
- are denied first and sometimes investigated only second. Like the Fortean
- the debunker is not concerned with the full explanation. Whereas the
- Fortean types don't want explanations, the debunkers don't need them as they
- believe they have already them.
-
- The third approach, which I've tried to empower and legitimate, is the
- zetetic. Zetetic is an old word coming from the Greek followers of the
- skeptical philosopher, Pyrrho. The main feature of this approach is to
- emphasize the communal norm of skepticism present in the scientific
- community. By skepticism I would like to strongly distinguish between doubt
- and denial. Doubt is the skeptical approach; the debunker's approach is
- denial. True skepticism which is a part of science consists of doubt
- preceeding inquiry, and that essentially takes the position of non-belief
- rather than of disbelief. The main elements of the zetetic approach are:
- firstly, ignorance; secondly, some doubt; thirdly, an emphasis upon inquiry.
- Charles Sanders Peirce required that the first and primary obligation of any
- philosopher or scientist is to do nothing that would block inquiry. This
- approach involves a general acceptance of what Mario Bunge calls methodism,
- on science as method, not science as some established absolute body of
- knowledge.
-
- The most important thing here is that maverick ideas, unconventional claims,
- and anomalies must be viewed not as crises but as opportunities. Some of
- these claims, probably a small minority, will in fact turn out to have some
- substance because after all that is what drives science forward. Without
- anomalies and their validation, later incorporation, and explanation, we
- would not have any progress in science. We have a fundamental problem in
- science of somehow trying to balance openness with conservatism, and
- imagination and creativity with criticism. How can we keep science an open
- system? From the history of science it is clear that radical conceptional
- innovations are not accepted until all the orthodox interpretations have
- failed. There are different viewpoints on this. Michael Polanyi defends
- the conservative side. He said, "There must be at all times a predominantly
- accepted scientific view of the nature of things, in the light of which,
- research is jointly conducted by members of the scientific community. Any
- evidence which contradicts this view has to be disregarded, even if it cannot
- be accounted for, in the hope that it will eventually turn out to be false
- and irrelevant." I don't agree with Polanyi. The good scientist is one who
- is unprejudiced with an open mind, ready to embrace any new idea supported by
- facts. The history of science shows, however, that this is not usually the
- case. The burden of proof is not only on the claimant, but he is faced with
- denial rather than simply doubt.
-
- As one looks at the history of science, a number of other interesting concepts
- have been put forward. Gunther Stent argued that there have been premature
- ideas ahead of their time which the culture then was not ready to accept. The
- same is true for 'postmature' sciences. There are cases where the knowledge
- was available for some time, but new developments were slow to come. An
- example is the laser.
-
- The history of science is full of some very notable rejections. Some of them
- are now even silly sounding. Lord Kelvin said that x-rays would prove to be
- a hoax. Thomas Watson, once chairman of the board of IBM, said in 1943, "I
- think there is a world market for about five computers". This got so bad
- that in 1889, Charles Duell, who was then the commissioner of the US Office of
- Patents, wrote a letter to president McKinley asking him to abolish the
- Patents Office since "everything that can be invented has been invented".
- [See note at end of this post for a later clarification of this fact.] Ernst
- Mach said he could not accept the theory of relativity any more than he could
- accept the existence of atoms and other such dogmas, as he put it. Edison
- supposedly said that he saw no commercial future for the light bulb. When
- the phonograph was first demonstrated at the French Academy of Science, one
- scientist leaped up, grabbed the exhibitor, started shaking him, and said, "I
- won't be taken in by your ventriloquist!" Rutherford called atomic power
- "moonshine". The history of science is full of such crazy stories.
-
- The best interpretation of this can be given by what is called "type one" and
- "type two" error. "Type one" error is thinking that something special is
- happening when nothing special really is happening. "Type two" error is
- thinking that nothing special is happening, when in fact something rare or
- infrequent is happening. Obviously these are at opposite poles, and you
- increase your probability of avoiding one kind of error by increasing the
- probability of making the other kind.
-
- When an unconventional claim is made, we must decide whether it is a discovery
- or some kind of mistake. There are fundamentally three kinds of errors: it
- can be a mistake or accident, an artifact, or an impropriety. These three
- have different degrees of moral stigma attached to them. Everybody makes
- mistakes, but fraud is something else. Most interesting for the sociology of
- science is the relationship between the scientist making the claim and the
- scientific community and how the claim gets labeled by them. In general we
- can distinguish between what Isaac Asimov called "endoheretics" and
- "exoheretics". Endoheretics are appropriately credentialed scientists. If
- the person is outside the scientific community or at least outside of his
- specialty, he is an exoheretic. If a person is an endoheretic, he will be
- considered as eccentric and incompetent, whereas if the person is an
- exoheretic, he will be regarded as a crackpot, charlatan, or fraud.
-
- In general, most people, especially within the anomalies communities, tend to
- accept the idea that there are three basic ways in which the general
- scientific community will probably come around to accepting their claim. The
- first is if they can produce a replicable phenomenon, especially one
- replicable by skeptics. The second is the hope that an acceptable theory
- will develop a set of mechanisms that will predict the phenomenon. The third
- is a successful application which will bypass the scientific community
- altogether.
-
- We must remember that an anomaly is essentially an extraordinary claim, but
- 'extraordinary' is always something that's a matter of degree. An anomaly
- can only be spoken of sensibly in relationship to a certain theory that it
- seems to violate. But theory changes. If the theoretical framework changes
- and is made more hospitable to the previously outlandish claim, that claim
- may no longer be anomalous. Also, science is hardly unified. The theory in
- one science may not be exactly compatible with theory in another science, so
- that what may be accepted as an anomaly in one science may be much less of an
- anomaly in another. For example, Lord Kelvin said that the age of the sun
- was much too young to allow the earth to be old enough to support Darwin's
- theory of evolution. If the biologists had listened to the leading
- physicists of that day, they would have given up evolutionary theory, since
- what violates physics violates biology. Luckily, physics came around to
- changing its point of view when fusion was discovered and the sun was seen to
- be much older, making evolutionary theory possible. Only time will tell what
- is premature and what is postmature in science.
-
- In recent years within the history, philosophy, and psychology of science
- there are now strong voices such as those of constructivism and relativism
- speaking out against the older, classical positivist view. Max Planck once
- said that a new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its
- opponents, but rather because its opponents eventually die and a new
- generation grows up that's familiar with it. In the sociology of science,
- one viewpoint represented by David Bloor is that what is considered as
- bedrock consensual science is socially negotiated. Some of the basics
- central to the scientific method like replication are extremely problematic.
- What is considered to be a true replication is something very much negotiable.
- When parapsychologists claim to have replicated an experiment, critics do
- their best to point out, even 'nit-pick' how different the experiments are.
- Thus it is difficult sometimes to tell exactly what a true replication is.
- If someone like James Randi, a magician, accomplishes in a stage show what
- appears to be what a psychic does in the laboratory under controlled
- conditions, then most critics say that Randi has replicated what the psychic
- has achieved. This is an unfair comparison.
-
- Scientism, the mistaken dogmatic acceptance of current paradigms, is another
- significant problem. Freud was the first to note the mistaken belief that
- science consists in nothing but proved propositions, and felt that this was
- a demand made only by those who crave authority and need to replace religious
- catechism with a scientific one.
-
- We must distinguish between anti-scientific and non-scientific ideas. There
- are those who are willing to play by the scientific rules of the game but who
- are not accepted for some reason or another. I call them protoscientists.
- Some protosciences are widely accepted. Parapsychology is perhaps one of the
- most sophisticated and accepted since the Parapsychological Association is
- affiliated with the AAAS. Then there are the quasi-scientific belief systems.
- Astrology is the best example of this. People claim that it is compatible
- with science, fitting proper scientific rules, but there is no experimental
- verification. Astrologers are not anti-scientific, but simply practitioners.
- Then there are pragmatic or esoteric thinkers. They claim to have discovered
- the secret of the universe. They are anti-scientific. If they cannot explain
- it, they hope that later on scientists will explain it and if not, to them it
- doesn't matter much. Though it sounds outlandish, throughout the history of
- science many breakthroughs occurred that way. Anesthesia is a good example.
- There are no proper mechanisms even today to explain it fundamentally, but it
- works. Then we have the mystical approaches, purely subjective, of two types:
- (1) consensual mystical occultism, which is intersubjective; and (2) solitary
- mysticism.
-
- Obviously there is a large spectrum of approaches. We can differentiate
- extraordinary claims first in terms of mainstream acceptance or rejection,
- and whether they are methodologically acceptable or not. There are also
- things which are institutionally unacceptable despite good methodology.
- Protoscientific efforts, in my opinion, such as parapsychology at its best
- always meets certain hostility, animosity, and accusations of pseudoscience.
- Finally there are things which are unacceptable both methodologically and
- institutionally. This is pseudoscience.
-
- One must consider distinctions between anomalies or extraordinary events that
- have been examined scientifically vs. non-scientifically, such as via
- metaphysics or theology. Here we can distinguish between the abnormal, the
- paranormal and the supernatural. If something is rare or extraordinary in
- science but it is explanable, we call it abnormal. The term paranormal
- refers to something that science can explain some day but at the present
- moment cannot. These are the scientific frontiers. However, there are
- things that are fundamentally inexplicable by science, the supernatural.
- Critics often confuse the paranormal and the supernatural and turn it into a
- political fight. One should distinguish also between variables or facts and
- relationships or processes. (See figure, p. ) If we have ordinary facts
- in an ordinary relationship, we may call it normal, orthodox science. If
- we have ordinary facts in an extraordinary relationship, such as two people
- who have the same thought being linked by ESP, this is parascience. We
- usually see facts but infer processes. All kinds of ordinary facts can be
- considered from extraordinary relationships. If we have an extraordinary fact
- in an ordinary relationship, for example, a dinosaur in Loch Ness, that would
- be a cryptoscientific claim. The worst combination is paracryptoscience,
- where we have an extraordinary set of facts and claim an extraordinary
- relationship between them. Velikovsky, for example, claims strange things in
- the sky, apparently violating conventional astronomy.
-
- What is required to bring an anomalous claim into scientific acceptance? In
- cryptoscience, no replication is needed. One Big Foot, captured, would
- suffice. For parascience, replication is required, and an anomalous claim
- has to topple over every other normal explanation of the results. Whereas
- in cryptoscience it is easy to prove but difficult to falsify hypotheses, in
- parascience it is easy to falsify and hard to validate.
-
- People often confuse parasciences and cryptosciences. For example, a white
- crow is a cryptozoological phenomenon. All too often in parapsychology
- people talk as though cryptoscientific claims were being made, as if a single
- critical experiment could prove it. That is ridiculous from the scientific
- viewpoint. The history and philosophy of science has shown that there is no
- such thing as a critical experiment. A single experiment doesn't change the
- body of science. Replications and changes in theory must follow, and perhaps
- the whole worldview must change.
-
- There are some myths about science and scientists that need to be dispelled.
- Science gets mistaken as a body of knowledge for its method. Scientists are
- regarded as having superhuman abilities of rationality inside objectivity.
- Many studies in the psychology of science, however, indicate that scientists
- are at least as dogmatic and authoritarian, at least as foolish and illogical
- as everybody else, including when they do science. In one study on
- falsifiability, an experiment was described, an hypothesis was given to the
- participants, the results were stated, and the test was to see whether the
- participants would say, "This falsifies the hypothesis". The results
- indicated denial, since most of the scientists refused to falsify their
- hypotheses, sticking with them despite a lack of evidence! Strangely,
- clergymen were much more frequent in recognizing that the hypotheses were
- false.
-
- Originally I was invited to be a co-chairman of CSICOP by Paul Kurtz. I
- helped to write the bylaws and edited their journal. I found myself attacked
- by the Committee members and board, who considered me to be too soft on the
- paranormalists. My position was not to treat protoscientists as adversaries,
- but to look to the best of them and ask them for their best scientific
- evidence. I found that the Committee was much more interested in attacking
- the most publicly visible claimants such as the "National Enquirer". The
- major interest of the Committee was not inquiry but to serve as an advocacy
- body, a public relations group for scientific orthodoxy. The Committee has
- made many mistakes. My main objection to the Committee, and the reason I
- chose to leave it, was that it was taking the public position that it
- represented the scientific community, serving as gatekeepers on maverick
- claims, whereas I felt they were simply unqualified to act as judge and jury
- when they were simply lawyers.
-
- Despite serious philosophical and sociological questions about how well the
- system works, I believe in the process of science and scientific progress.
- Science is a self-correcting system. Encouragement of fair play and due
- process in the scientific arena will allow that self-correction to work best.
- A diversity of opinions and dialogue is extremely important. We cannot close
- the door on maverick claims.
- _______________________________________
-
- References
- M. Truzzi, "On the Extraordinary: An Attempt at Clarification", Zetetic
- Scholar 1 (1978), p. 11-22.
-
- R. Westrum and M. Truzzi, "Anomalies: A Bibliographic Introduction with Some
- Cautionary Remarks", Zetetic Scholar 2 (1978), p. 69-90.
-
- M. Truzzi, "Zetetic Ruminations on Skepticism and Anomalies in Science",
- Zetetic Scholar 12 & 13 (1987), p. 7-20.
-
-
- [In the article above, Dr. Truzzi brought up the example of the commissioner
- of Patents. Following is a letter submitted to the Spring/Summer 1991 issue
- of "Frontier Perspectives", clarifying this statement:
-
- In "Frontier Perspectives" of Fall/Winter 1990, the report on my talk
- included a quotation frequently attributed to Charles Duell, a past
- commissioner of the U.S. Office of Patents, in which he purportedly wrote
- President McKinley that "everything that can be invented has been invented."
- Kendrick Frazier has since called my attention to a persuasive article by
- Samuel Sass ["A Patently Fals Patent Myth," The Skeptical Inquirer, vol. 13,
- Spring 1989, pp. 310-312] arguing that Duell probably never really wrote such
- a statement. I made the error of relying on secondary sources for what is
- probably a misquotation.
-
- Marcello Truzzi, Ph.D.
- Center for Scientific Anomalies Research
- P.O. Box 1052
- Ann Arbor, MI 48106 ]
-
- ***************************************************************************
- (end of lecture)
-
-
-
-