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- Comments: Gated by NETNEWS@AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU
- Path: sparky!uunet!paladin.american.edu!auvm!BEN.DCIEM.DND.CA!MMT
- Message-ID: <9212222341.AA06603@chroma.dciem.dnd.ca>
- Newsgroups: bit.listserv.csg-l
- Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1992 18:41:31 EST
- Sender: "Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)" <CSG-L@UIUCVMD.BITNET>
- From: mmt@BEN.DCIEM.DND.CA
- Subject: Re: Misc replies
- Lines: 137
-
- [Martin Taylor 921222 18:15]
- (Bill Powers 921222.0800)
-
- > As long as the list of people actually
- >devising and carrying out experiments and modeling is limited to
- >Rick Marken, Tom Bourbon, and me, the queue of possible
- >experiments with HPCT is going to grow while the actual work done
- >trudges along at a slow pace.
- >
- >When I last looked, there were 132 subscribers to this list.
- >Permit me a moment of impatience: when are some of you people
- >going to get out of your armchairs?
-
- Well, we are trying the Little Baby experiments, and are doing preliminary
- work for Genetic Algorithm experiments, both to study reorganization.
- Does that count?
- =============
- --------------------------------------------------------------
- >Martin Taylor (921221.2000) --
- >
- >>If a generative model does predict reality well, without
- >>excessive use of parameters, then it produces strong evidence
- >>of the plausibility of the theory that underlies it.
- >
- >The control system model we use predicts detailed handle
- >movements within 5 to 10 percent with a single adjustable
- >parameter, the integration constant. By adding a transport lag,
- >we can approximately halve that error. So at most we need two
- >parameters to reduce prediction error to 2.5 to 5 percent. If we
- >introduce nonlinearities, we might get that down to 2 to 4
- >percent. But diminishing returns will set in pretty quickly. I
- >figure that we are pretty near the noise level set by the
- >discrete nature of neural impulses.
-
- I intended to imply that PCT had that kind of requisite support. It's
- one reason why I think it worthwhile working on the foundations. But
- I'm equally impressed with the argument from evolution and other
- more abstract arguments of necessity and possibility. They all support
- one another.
- ============
-
- >I think you're going to have to take us back to a more elementary
- >level. I still don't understand why a perceptual signal that is
- >maintained in a match with a changing reference signal is said to
- >have a LOW information content.
-
- ...
-
- >>In the 2Hz case, the presumption is that all these
- >>probabilities are flat (actually Gaussian) distributions,
- >>maximizing the information that could be transmitted.
- >
- >Who is doing this presuming in the system? I asked why the
- >perceptual and reference signals should not both be considered to
- >carry an information flow appropriate to a signal varying within
- >a 2Hz bandwidth. You didn't answer that.
-
- The presumption was one that you (Bill Powers) would have to make
- in order to assert that the perceptual and reference signals would
- convey to you (Bill Powers) information at a rate appropriate to a
- 2Hz bandwidth. To anyone else, the information rates might be different.
-
- I'm working on a more considered presentation of the information-theory
- stuff, as requested. But it isn't going to be immediate. To tighten
- it up and make it didactically useful is going to take work, especially
- since I have to go back to basics, as these questions suggest. It could
- be that I will make up some document to be deposited with Bill Silvert
- or to be circulated on paper (lots of pictures required).
- ==================
-
- (Tom Bourbon 921222 10:10)
-
- Tom,
- Thanks for your considered (and considerate) posting.
-
- > I offer this suggestion: Demonstrate that you can work from
- >first principles in information theory and (necessarily?) arrive at
- >an architecture identical to that in the PCT model. If the model
- >you derive is identical to the PCT model, you are right; there is
- >no need to simulate it -- to run it. But if it differs in any
- >details, run it, to confirm that it behaves as you think it will.
- >That step should satisfy any questions, doubts or criticisms I have
- >seen directed toward your posts about information theory and PCT.
-
- Yes, I started working on it after yesterday's postings. See above.
- I would very much like to see it actually run as a model of the type
- you like, but as a practical matter I spend much more time on CSG
- matters than I should (as well as having contractors work on PCT-related
- issues). I am not a strong programmer, though I sometimes find it fun.
- Quite probably I will write the document that Bill asks for, and then
- see whether it opens fruitful lines of discussion that might induce me
- or someone else to do the actual generative modelling. Producing the
- document has obvious benefits for me, to make the ideas more precise,
- rather than intuitive, as in the posting to you. And it would seem
- necessary if the ideas are to be propagated (assuming that they have
- value).
-
- >I believe a major question that is unresolved for some of the
- >modelers is whether you would necessarily arrive at the PCT
- >structure. Couldn't you just as easily arrive at other, sometimes
- >implausible, structures? I have seen information theory used to
- >justify or explain many varieties of theory in behavioral and
- >cognitive science. Why should one person arrive at a PCT
- >structure, when so many others did not? I am not saying that you
- >will not, just that I do not see the necessity that you will.
-
- You are quite right about the (mis)uses to which information theory
- has been put, and this paragraph will make me look much harder at
- my assumptions than I otherwise might have done. I do not want to
- provide a circular argument "PCT, therefore PCT." What I believe
- should come out is "chaotic world, therefore PCT."
-
- >> It's hard for me
- >>to get back to basics (or even to exact formulae, since I don't use
- >>them much), but it will be a good exercise for me to try.
- >
- >Try it! You might like it! Even should the task prove daunting
- >(which, for you, I doubt), the least you can expect is that your
- >personal insights about PCT and information theory will be more
- >easily digested by readers on the net -- the discussion will be
- >much more likely to remain on a technical level.
-
- I think I would like it eventually. But as with getting into physical
- shape, the muscles hurt during the build-up period, so one tends to
- avoid the exercise.
-
- One problem I have is that I always feel that if I understand something,
- then any moderately competent person with whom I wish to communicate
- will also have understood it. Intellectually, I know this not to be
- true, but it always feels to me to be patronizing when I start to explain
- something that the listener presumably knows. This problem causes great
- confusion when I start speculating on the basis of things that are not
- known to the other parties. That's obviously what is happening here.
-
- Anyway, thans to you both.
-
- Martin
-