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- Path: sparky!uunet!ccs!covici
- From: covici@ccs.covici.com (John Covici)
- Reply-To: covici@ccs.covici.com
- Newsgroups: alt.activism
- Subject: EIR Talks to Lyndon LaRouche: 12/28/92
- Message-ID: <231-PCNews-124beta@ccs.covici.com>
- Date: 2 Jan 93 0:30:21 GMT
- Organization: Covici Computer Systems
- Lines: 654
-
- The following interview with Lyndon LaRouche was taken from Executive
- Intelligence Review V20, #2 and was originally broadcast on the radio
- show EIR Talks With Lyndon LaRouche which is available by satellite.
-
- Interview: Lyndon LaRouche
-
- Return to the fundamentals of production-based economics
-
- {The following interview was conducted with U.S. economist
- and statesman Lyndon LaRouche from his prison cell in Rochester,
- Minnesota on Dec. 28, 1992. The interview was conducted by Mel
- Klenetsky for }EIR'{s radio show ``Talks With Lyndon LaRouche.''}
-
- EIR: We're coming up to the one-year anniversary of the formation
- of Commonwealth of Independent States, and of the Yegor Gaidar
- and Jeffrey Sachs ``shock therapy'' program, which has given
- the former Soviet Union 2,000% inflation. Can any country survive
- that kind of policy?
-
- LaRouche: No, absolutely not. It's a rather complicated but
- important point, important not only for eastern Europe, but
- also for the United States, that no nation, including our own,
- can survive the kinds of so-called free market deregulation
- policies which are currently advocated by the U.S. government,
- by people at the Harvard University economics department, and
- so forth. It just cannot be done. It is a radical form of monetarist
- policy, absolutely wild, which is guaranteed to destroy any
- economy which is foolish enough to accept such policies.
-
- In the case of the so-called shock therapy, this little fellow
- Sachs, educated in the modern fads in economics, that is, in
- totally incompetent economics, has proposed to use the shock
- therapy {to destroy} the structures of economy which were associated
- with the former communist economies, in order to clear the way
- for the gradual mushrooming, beginning with little peddlers,
- of a new so-called free market economy. And what he gets, is
- a combination, on the one side, of a total destruction of the
- economy, piece by piece; zooming inflation as a result of a
- collapse of the economy--for no other reason--and then a host
- of speculators playing upon the shortages thus created to make
- superprofits.
-
- The image of the Mercedes Benz 600 vehicles in Moscow amid the
- relative hunger, is an example of that, or the virtual total
- collapse of the economy of Poland relative to what it was before
- Sachs got in there. And the same thing is true in the United
- States. Britain is destroyed as an economy, and the United States
- is destroying itself as an economy, all as a result of the same
- kind of philosophy of economics.
-
- EIR: What is shock therapy, and what is a free market system
- and free market policies?
-
- LaRouche: The free market system is insanity. We fought our
- [American] Revolution for independence against the policies
- of what were then called Adam Smith's doctrine of wealth of
- nations, which was a milder, less radical version of free market
- than is being pushed by Sachs and others today.
-
- These fellows look only at buying cheaply, from the cheapest
- source, and destroying every part of the world economy which
- does not meet that price of cheapness. This, in its milder form,
- the Adam Smith form of the British East India Co., destroyed
- many economies. Every time we tried this model in the United
- States, as we did under Presidents Jefferson, Madison, Jackson,
- Polk, Buchanan, or Pierce, we destroyed our economy and went
- into a deep depression. The United States never had a depression
- which was not caused by our submission to some version of this
- so-called free market economy. And the only way we ever got
- out of a depression, was by rejecting that free market economy,
- as it's called now.
-
- EIR: What are the principles of shock therapy? LaRouche: There's
- no principle at all. You simply
-
- allow no protection for your economy. You drop prices below
- replacement costs; you pile up debt--it looks like a leveraged
- takeover.
-
- What happened in Poland, for example, as shock therapy, is not
- much different than what happened to Northwest Airlines, which
- is not yet bankrupt, and to a lot of other airlines, which did
- go bankrupt. Somebody moved in with a leveraged buyout; they
- took over the economy, or the company in this case. They piled
- on a lot of debt to cost of acquisition which was piled on the
- company. They sold off and otherwise looted parts of the company,
- cut wages, and so forth and so on--all in the name of paying
- off this debt, which had been created in the process of the
- takeover.
-
- In the United States, there are a bunch of sharks that do this.
- They'll take somebody, set him up, invest in him, build up his
- company; he'll buy a lot of assets. And then at one point they
- pull the string and artificially drive him into bankruptcy,
- and then, one of the creditors ends up buying out the other
- creditors, taking over the whole company at 20-30@ct on the
- dollar. That's what shock therapy is in practice, as applied
- in Poland.
-
- EIR: Free market and free trade policies are what everyone learns
- when they go to school; they're told that protectionism is bad.
- And yet, what you're telling us is that protectionism is the
- system that built this country.
-
- LaRouche: Yes, precisely. There is the case of Prof. Robert
- Reich, who's been designated by President-elect Clinton to become
- the secretary of labor. Now prior to that announcement, there
- was much mooting of the possibility that Reich, who presumably
- had been one of the leading advisers to the governor on economic
- policies for his presidential campaign, might become the so-called
- economics czar. There was a great protest from various people,
- saying, well, Professor Reich does admittedly write a great
- deal on economic policy and teach on it, but remember, he's
- not accredited as a tenured professor where he's teaching, because
- he has not qualified himself in the requisite academic courses
- in economics. Now, I laughed about that, and I said, that's
- the very reason he might be qualified.
-
- Anybody who has been educated in the college level, for example,
- in what is called microeconomics and macroeconomics, is unqualified
- to be hired for an administrative position in any branch of
- government or any company firm today.
-
- What is taught as economics in universities today is wretchedly
- incompetent. And the person who has successfully passed the
- courses in those subjects, {is a failure.} If you turn them
- loose in a corporation, they'll ruin it. If you turn them loose
- in a national economy, they'll ruin it.
-
- Economy has nothing to do with this free market nonsense. Economy
- is the relationship of the individual and the society to nature.
- It's a matter of how we, as human beings, manage to produce
- enough and increase our productivity to the point that we as
- a nation, as a people, are able to survive. And we look at the
- nation, and we look also at the individual in that connection.
- We also look at the family, because the family after all is
- the unit which reproduces the individual; and therefore the
- development of the individual within the family, up to the point
- of maturity at least, is the crucial point of the development
- of economy.
-
- Now, you don't develop an economy just simply by producing enough.
- In order to produce, you must have what we call infrastructure.
- You must have water management, land improvements, transportation,
- energy supplies, and so forth, which are all infrastructure.
- You must also have in a modern economy an educational system
- which teaches something which is not the so-called current fad
- in economics. You must also have a health delivery system; otherwise
- your population may be dying of lack of sanitation or lack of
- care.
-
- So, these ingredients called infrastructure, which include the
- local city library for example, are {absolutely indispensable}
- to the functioning of productivity of society. They are the
- first cost of investment in maintaining a modern society. And
- today, we have a collapse in the United States of infrastructure.
- We have a water crisis, which is going to kill us--we're beginning
- to look like Africa, not as bad, but we're headed in that direction.
- We have an energy crisis. We're going to brownouts and blackouts
- with no energy supplies to replace it. We have no transportation
- system; the rail system is collapsed, and rail is still the
- cheapest and best way of long-distance freight movement, apart
- from the bulk freight which we move by water.
-
- We don't have a health care system, our health-care capacity
- is 20% below the needs of the population. We have no educational
- system to speak of.
-
- For example, even Stanford University, which is a highly respected
- university formerly, is one of those which has gone into the
- policy of not teaching students the writings of what are called
- ``dead white European males.'' Now it happens that the {bulk}
- of all human knowledge to date involves dead white European
- males of the past 2,500 years, beginning with people like Solon,
- Homer, Plato, Pythagoras, and so forth. All of our knowledge
- is based on the development of the ideas developed by these
- people. And a university which is not teaching the work of dead
- white European males, has no physical science, no music department,
- virtually no literary department--nothing! On the high school
- level, we have again the political correctness program spilling
- down. The ``World of Difference'' program, for example, put
- in by the Anti-Defamation League, is destroying much education
- in parts of the country. But one thing I agree with the {Wall
- Street Journal} on, is that ``political correctness'' on the
- university level is destroying it.
-
- So we have no infrastructure. We don't have a labor force which
- is as qualified to produce as it was 20 years ago, and all as
- a result of these kinds of crazy ideas associated with the current
- fads in economics.
-
- EIR: If you go to an economics class today on the university,
- the main philosophy is the law of supply and demand. Why does
- the law of supply and demand not solve these problems? Why does
- it fail?
-
- LaRouche: It always did. Supply and demand is a piece of idiocy.
- It was dreamed up during the 18th century in particular. It
- was revised in the 19th century.
-
- It's nonsense. If you don't produce the supply, you can demand
- all you want, you're not going to get it. If you don't have
- infrastructure, you won't get it. This is a long and more complicated
- problem, which goes to the axiomatic roots of the incompetence
- of what is taught as economics. Its advocates argue that you
- start with a fund of money. Where this fund comes from, is a
- big mystery. Then, they argue that there are consumers, who
- buy, and that producers are merely people who go out and work
- as cheaply as possible to satisfy the demands of the consumers.
- And when the consumers don't have anything, the consumers are
- willing to pay a higher price; and when they do have something
- in abundance, they will pay only a lower price. That's essentially
- the whole theory.
-
- The fact of the matter is, that society is based not on consumption--obviously,
- we have to consume. But society is not driven by consumption.
- Society, economies, are driven by production. They're driven
- by the productivity of labor. They are determined by how much
- of the physical needs of mankind can we get from an average
- square mile of land area, by aid of human production. Supply
- and demand has nothing to do with that.
-
- For example, the belief in supply and demand, and the use of
- that as an argument in policy-shaping, is the reason why the
- British economy is the useless rust bucket today, and why the
- United States is headed in the same direction.
-
- We're not being cheated by Japan. We're not being cheated by
- Europe. They're not unfair with us, we're unfair with ourselves.
- We shut down our infrastructure investment, which Japan did
- not do, which Europe has not done to the degree we have. We
- shut down our investment in technology, which they did not do
- to that degree. We did all these crazy things, and we ruined
- our economy. Everything that transformed us from the world's
- envy in economy at the beginning of the 1960s, to virtually
- becoming a Third World nation today, is the result of our own
- doing, our own stupidity, and what is taught as economics is
- largely responsible for shaping the policies which have turned
- us from a proud, prosperous nation into a junkheap today.
-
- EIR: If the law of supply and demand and free trade policies
- do not lead to infrastructure development, how do you get it
- going?
-
- LaRouche: It has to be done by the state. First of all, you
- have to start with this question of money. According to our
- federal Constitution, the creation of money and the circulation
- and regulation thereof, is a monopolistic responsibility of
- the federal government. Under Alexander Hamilton, and under
- all sensible presidencies, the way we've gotten money is not
- to have a Federal Reserve System or any central banking system,
- not to allow it. That's how we're looted.
-
- The way we're supposed to get money, is, as the Constitution
- says, the President goes to the Congress and asks the Congress
- for a bill, which authorizes the Executive branch to print and
- circulate money or to create specie. Acting upon the authorization
- of that congressional bill, the President instructs the secretary
- of the Treasury to proceed. And the proper procedure is that
- the secretary of the Treasury {issues the money,} paper money,
- specie, and so forth, or authorizes someone else to do it on
- the Treasury's behalf, like a printing company or a mint, for
- example.
-
- This money is then properly placed in a national bank. It's
- not spent usually for government expenditures directly. It's
- not paid out by the government. But it's put in a bank. When
- it gets to the bank, it is loaned. U.S. government money is
- loaned at a low interest rate to governmental agencies such
- as state governments, state projects, or federal corporations,
- that is, corporations which are authorized by the federal government,
- like water project companies or the Tennessee Valley Authority,
- for example. These companies use that money to create wealth
- in the form of infrastructure. The money is also to be loaned,
- mixed with private savings and loans, to private companies for
- worthwhile categories of private investments to build up the
- economy generally. And that's normally the way a healthy economy
- will grow. If it's investing in technological progress, capital-intensive,
- energy-intensive technological progress, such investment of
- federally created money will cause full employment (relatively),
- and prosperity and continued economic growth. And it will not
- cause any federal debt, except the imputed debt of balance sheet
- liability of the federal government to back up its own currency.
- And if the currency is properly invested, there won't be any
- problem on that account.
-
- Our problems today are essentially centered on the operations
- of the Federal Reserve System. That is the key to our economic
- problems.
-
- EIR: What is the basic difference between the Federal Reserve
- and the kind of national bank that you're talking about setting
- up? Who controls it?
-
- LaRouche: The Federal Reserve is a private corporation, licensed,
- franchised by the federal government. A group of private bankers,
- domestic as well as foreign (but through domestic banking channels),
- sets up a bank called the Federal Reserve bank. They run it.
-
- Now, they create money. For example, today, the Federal Reserve
- System will issue money at less than 3% to New York bankers
- and similar people. They print it by discount mechanisms. These
- banks in turn will loan that money to the federal government
- by buying federal debt at 5.5%, or something like that, or on
- long bonds they'll go as much as a 5% spread.
-
- So what we have is the spectacle of money which is created out
- of thin air, loaned at 3% or less to banks and others who in
- turn loan that fiat money to the federal government at up to
- a 5% spread. So the debt is being created, the federal debt
- is being built up to bail out the private banks. And the federal
- government, in order to conduct its own operations, in order
- to pay the debt service that it already owes to the banks and
- similar people, borrows money, federal debt, which it pays for
- by this means. And so the federal debt is built up precisely
- because of this Federal Reserve System.
-
- EIR: Assume that we get our infrastructure going again, we create
- a national bank. How does the United States compete with countries
- like Japan and Germany, who are so far ahead at this point in
- terms of infrastructure?
-
- LaRouche: We really don't have to worry about competing, except
- in the sense of realizing that the level of technology in these
- countries represents a standard with which we must have parity.
- We don't have to have exactly the same industries, or the same
- complex of industries they have; but we have to meet that technological
- standard. That means a change in our policies presently; our
- tax policy, our credit policy--all have to change.
-
- For example, let's start with the farmers--agriculture. Most
- people don't know it and most wouldn't even believe it, but
- the United States is a net food importing country. True, we
- export grains, but we are wiping out the American farmer. Why?
-
- The American farmer is being paid far less than it costs the
- farmer to produce. For example, about 90-95% of parity is the
- price the average farmer must have in order to maintain farming,
- that is, to meet the costs of production. We have been for years
- forcing the price paid to the farmer down below 60%, to as low
- as 30%. Obviously, farmers go bankrupt as a result of trying
- to meet those prices.
-
- The agriculture department of the U.S. government for years
- has been run by the grain cartels, chiefly the Cargill firm.
- For example, under President Reagan, we had a fellow called
- Daniel Amstutz in there, who was originally the foreign trading
- executive for Cargill, the largest grain-trading operation,
- running the agriculture department's foreign trade. We have
- people who were former Cargill officials, former Cargill attorneys,
- Cargill assets, running the agriculture department. These guys
- have been looting the farmer. People like Dwayne Andreas have
- been looting the farmer.
-
- So, farmers are going out of business. They didn't go out of
- business all at once; they got into government debt. Then the
- government turned the screws, often illegally, violating the
- law, to put the farmers out of business, even put them in jail,
- for doing nothing other than trying to keep the farm going and
- supplying food to the United States and the world {at below
- the cost of production.}
-
- So obviously, we have to build up the agricultural sector again,
- to the point that we can produce enough food so we're not dependent
- upon foreign countries for our food supply, which is what we've
- done by sinking the American farmer. We have to do the same
- thing in the manufacturing sector. We have to create more jobs
- in manufacturing and transportation and so forth. We have to
- have a larger percentile of the total labor force involved in
- producing wealth and a much smaller percentile of the labor
- force involved in low-grade service industries, or in financial
- services and outright parasitism. We have to have more people
- in production, more people employed in science, and fewer in,
- shall we say, low-grade social services. We have to have a policy
- of capital intensity, that is, a lot of investment in production,
- in machinery, in equipment, and a relatively shrinking percentile
- of investments in the simple direct cost of production. And
- we have to have an emphasis on scientific and technological
- progress. We have to supply the infrastructure, including the
- transportation systems, the energy systems and the water systems
- which are necessary to allow industry and agriculture to function.
- Those should be our objectives.
-
- EIR: Why do farmers need parity to survive? LaRouche: A high-quality
- farmer will run a family
-
- farm of maybe 400 acres of land. He's a small businessman--actually,
- farmers are among the best small businessmen in the United States.
- They were better at managing the farm than probably 80% of the
- businessmen, including some large corporations, were at managing
- their companies, in terms of efficiency, everything considered.
- They worked harder, they had a higher degree of competence for
- their work, and their product was relatively superior.
-
- Now, parity reflects the average paid-out cost of production
- for these farmers, plus a small margin of return on investment,
- to cover borrowing costs and profits. That's all it is.
-
- So when you say ``parity,'' you're not saying some magic term
- or some made-up term. Parity is simply the average cost of production
- plus a small percentage for borrowing costs and profit. That's
- all it represents. Some farmers are much more productive; therefore,
- that means a fairly substantial profit to them. Other farmers
- are less productive, but we need all of these farmers to produce
- an adequate food supply, and that's the way we calculate parity.
- So when you force prices of commodities {below} parity, you
- are bankrupting farmers.
-
- EIR: Who's forcing them to produce below parity? LaRouche:
- The U.S. government is backing up the
-
- grain cartel. The grain cartel comes in, cuts a contract, and
- says we'll buy at this price. And they use their monopolistic
- power against the relatively small businessman, the farmer,
- taking him on one at a time, and they crush him. And if the
- U.S. government does not intervene against these monopolies,
- these oligopolies--they're actually violating the anti-trust
- laws, in principle--to prevent them from abusing the farmer,
- then the farmer will be crushed, because the farmer is a small
- businessman up against a giant like Cargill. How is a small
- farmer, grossing a couple of hundred thousand dollars year,
- going to compete in the so-called free market against a $40-billion-a-year
- giant, which, with its friends, the Union-Pacific crowd in Omaha,
- controls the Chicago market, controls the grain trade deals
- in Minnesota? How is that individual farmer going to compete
- in the marketplace, which is rigged by these powerful grain
- cartels, with the assistance of a complicit agriculture department?
-
- The U.S. government creates double talk. They call parity a
- ``subsidy'' for the farmer, and say that's coming out of the
- mouths of babies. Bunk. What we're subsidizing, by not maintaining
- a parity policy, is these cartels which are looting the farmer.
-
- EIR: Farmers are being driven off their land. Who's buying up
- the land?
-
- LaRouche: Sometimes they're not even buying the land; they're
- taking the land for a song. There are many people involved;
- it's a complicated question as to what's happening. But we are
- ruining the land. We're forcing the farmer down to dustbowl
- conditions, or something similar, by forcing him to produce
- from stored-up values in the land and in capital goods, until
- the point that the whole machine essentially breaks down. He's
- out of business, saying, ``I just can't do it any more.'' It's
- a cruel story, but the point is, the whole thing is based on
- the lie that parity is a violation of free market; and if Americans
- want to sustain that lie, they're going to find themselves going
- very hungry--because of a shortage of supplies and because we
- can't afford to import them. And the dumb American, who thinks
- that cheap food prices based on a bankrupt farmer is somehow
- good for the consumer budget, who thinks that he or she gets
- his or her food from the supermarket and doesn't have to be
- concerned with the farmer, is going to be punished by his or
- her own stupidity.
-
- We are now in a grievous worldwide food shortage, an acute one.
- People are dying of famine all over the place, for many reasons.
- But essentially the reason that we're having this food shortage,
- is because of the very policies of the U.S. government, which
- many foolish consumers in the United States think are good for
- the consumer budget.
-
- EIR: If the United States is going to restore itself as an economic
- power, it will have to deal with the educational level in this
- country, which, according to statistics, has fallen behind the
- level in other industrialized countries such as Germany and
- Japan. How does it do that?
-
- LaRouche: First of all, look at how we went down. Forget the
- statistics. They're bunk. Yes, we are falling way behind these
- other countries, no question about it. That's obvious. But
- we're falling behind ourselves. If we look at the content of
- education in the 1950s and 1960s, the first half of the 1960s
- in particular, when the National Science Foundation grants to
- education were still in progress, for example, the average graduate
- of a university today, including many with doctoral degrees
- in social sciences, {could not pass} a competent high school
- standard of education from that period.
-
- Similar things are occurring in Europe. For example, between
- 1968 and 1972, German education was collapsed by the so-called
- Brandt reforms of the late Willy Brandt, who was then chancellor.
- The German who is coming out of a high school in Germany today
- is virtually a barbarian compared with his older brother or
- parent who came out of an equivalent high school in 1966-68.
- So, comparing the United States with other countries masks the
- problem. The problem is worldwide. Generally, the level of education,
- the competence of people graduating from high schools and universities,
- is such that often the university graduate of today would not
- be qualified for a high school diploma in a respectable high
- school, say, of 25 years ago. And that's where the problem lies.
-
- The key to this, which is why I find myself in this uncomfortable
- alliance with the {Wall Street Journal} against political correctness,
- is that if we allow these thugs, the so-called deconstructionists
- (the name they use for themselves), these modern Nietzscheans,
- to use the Modern Language Association and other vehicles in
- colleges and high schools to introduce this political correctness
- program where truthfulness is no longer a standard of teaching,
- but rather sensitivity as they define it, is that we're going
- to find that we have a bunch of barbarians.
-
- I refer people to Jonathan Swift's {Gulliver's Travels,} which
- many people think is simply a children's book; it is not. It's
- a very powerful satire on the condition of England at that time.
- And I refer them to the famous story about the Houyhnhnms--Houyhnhnms
- being horses. Poor Gulliver lands in the land of the Houyhnhnms,
- and he finds that horses, i.e., a parody of the British aristocracy,
- are running the place, and that human beings exist only in the
- form of baboon-like immoral, disgusting, ignorant, speechless
- specimens called Yahoos. And that's what's happening.
-
- Our high schools and universities, and our general cultural
- system over the past 25 years, has been turning the American
- from a proud human being into an illiterate, drugged, ignorant,
- babbling, disgusting Yahoo. And if we want to have a civilization,
- let alone compete, we better start attending to remedying this
- sickness. Do you want your children and grandchildren to be
- a species of Yahoos who are unfit, unqualified, to survive?
- Or do you want grandchildren left behind you who amount to something?
- I think if we focused on that moral question, we would find
- that the economic questions would fall into place for us.
-
- EIR: If we look at the cabinet which is being chosen by Bill
- Clinton, it seems to be a paradigm of political correctness.
- We have a certain number of women, a certain number of minority
- groups. Is this going to present a problem for this country?
-
- LaRouche: Absolutely. One shouldn't look at it too simplistically.
- In framing a government, at least in terms of nominations so
- far, what the Clinton team has done, is to provide an assortment
- of representation to every geographic area of the country, and
- every part generally of the spectrum of the so-called political,
- sociological rainbow. Now, what's been created by doing so,
- in economics, for example, is at least four different mutually
- conflicting points of view on economic policy, all equally represented.
-
- Sooner or later, those conflicts are going to have to be sorted
- out, and something, either one of the four or something else,
- is going to have to take the place of most of the policies coming
- in there.
-
- What you have is really the beginning of a rough-and-tumble;
- not a policy. In this rough-and-tumble, admittedly, we have
- some very bad things. We have this rainbow political correctness
- idea--it's going to be a disaster. None of it's going to work.
- The U.S. economy is going to become worse until it changes.
- So therefore, whatever happens, if the political correctness
- prevails, to that degree you will have a failure. The administration
- is going to have to choose policies, or tilt toward policies,
- which are against failure, which will tend to be against political
- correctness.
-
- EIR: The backdrop of the incoming Clinton administration is
- a world in turmoil--the former Soviet Union, Europe, the developing
- sector. How do we restore some direction to the world strategic
- situation?
-
- LaRouche: I see things becoming much worse than that. The former
- Soviet Union is not going to disappear; at present, it's being
- reconsolidated. What's happened is that the Russian {nomenklatura}
- (some of the old communists, of course, are in it) is sitting
- back and saying, ``Okay, these fellows want independence from
- us. Let them have it for a while, let them try to swim on their
- own. They'll sink, and they'll beg for us to come back in.''
- If you look at what's happening, you will find that the communists,
- with the blessing of Lawrence Eagleburger and others, especially
- the British government, that the Serbian fascists of Slobodan
- Milosevic are committing genocidal atrocities, with concentration
- camps and genocide, which are beyond those even of World War
- II. It's unbelievable. It's the worst extremes of the Nazis
- and beyond that. These are communists. And that's destroying
- that part of the world, threatening a Balkan war there.
-
- The Russians are going to come back as an imperial power very
- rapidly, partly through agreements with forces in China, but
- otherwise, the United States will be disintegrating--while willing
- to play the role of world policeman, we'll collapse on the basis
- of our economic collapse here at home, which is now ongoing.
- So, we're in a terrible mess, and we have to recognize first
- of all that we're in a terrible mess.
-
- EIR: The former President of the former Soviet Union, Mikhail
- Gorbachov, recently said that he expects to see a return to
- some of the integration that existed in the former Soviet Union.
- What is going to happen in terms of the Soviet Union, and what
- will this mean for the world strategic situation?
-
- LaRouche: It's hard to say exactly what will happen. Gorbachov
- is correct in seeing the shift back in that direction. That
- was obvious to me from what I've seen from various sources.
- Some of the thinking among the leading Russian {nomenklatura,}
- back when Gorbachov fell, was that they said, ``Okay, we'll
- go through this period of deconstruction. We'll go through a
- period of placating Jeffery Sachs and the International Monetary
- Fund. We'll go through hell, but we're going to let our people
- see what it looks like. They think that they want the American
- system. Well, let them see what it's like these days. And when
- they get enough of the American system, they'll come back to
- us.''
-
- That is generally the thinking in some sections of the old apparatus,
- the {nomenklatura.} And you'll see that expressed among military
- voices more clearly than anywhere else, but the military voices
- are speaking for a broader group of people. This is true in
- Central Asia. The Russian troops will sit back, let the people
- shoot each other; when they get tired of shooting each other,
- and call for the Russian troops to come in and save them, the
- Russian troops will come in and save them--maybe not promptly,
- but slowly. So that process is going on.
-
- To develop these areas, to render them stable, requires fairly
- large-scale infrastructure projects. The problem of the Soviet
- economy, up to the point of the dissolution, was a rapid disintegration
- of infrastructure. And this occurred for many reasons. But
- this disintegration of infrastructure will prevent any economic
- development from occurring on a large scale. So they're going
- to have to tackle this infrastructure problem. That will require,
- from their standpoint, some sort of integrated effort, and Moscow,
- naturally, would like to have this integrated effort occur under
- Moscow's dominance. And that's what Gorbachov is reflecting
- when he makes those kinds of observations. I'd say that's a
- fairly good estimate of the direction of things. And remember,
- the former Soviets have about 30,000 warheads and a strategic
- naval fleet which is very impressive, so they still are a superpower,
- whereas the United States and Britain and so forth collapsed,
- partly because of this crazy Balkan war which the Anglo-Americans
- started and have kept going. We're going to find that the Russians,
- even though they've gone back a great deal, will be relatively
- stronger, relative to the United States and Britain, than they
- were in '89. Very soon, they'll be ahead, the way things are
- going now.
-
- EIR: In terms of the strategic situation, is there any policy
- that can be quickly pushed in motion in terms of Europe and
- the former Soviet Union, that the United States should be looking
- toward?
-
- LaRouche: Yes. Forget the military policies as such; that's
- a longer subject. Go back to fundamentals. Fundamentals are
- economics. We need to scrap every economic policy which was
- introduced as an innovation during the past 25-odd years, and
- go back to the kind of thinking in economic policy which was
- characteristic of the period of the John Kennedy administration.
- This is the right policy for the world as well as the United
- States. That's the fundamental thing we have to do, and that's
- what they're blocking on in Washington these days.
-
-
-
- ----
- John Covici
- covici@ccs.covici.com
-
-