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- Welcome to RACE RATER V1.6
-
- INTRODUCTION
-
- RACE RATER is a method of assigning numerical values to horses running in a
- race. The idea being that the horse with the highest value has the best
- chance of winning the race in question and the horse with the second highest
- value has the next best chance etc. The program allows you to rate up to 40
- horses in any one race and you can rate either or both of a horse's last two
- races. To operate the program you will need to take information from the
- Sporting Life.
-
- The program takes all those factors that can be assessed numerically, such as
- weight being carried, finishing position in previous races, the distance
- behind the winner that a horse finished and any Speed Rating achieved.
- Because the program uses a computer to analyse races there has been no attempt
- to try and predict the imponderables of racing, such as the distance of race
- that a horse prefers or the type of going that it needs to produce its best.
- These are factors that cannot be judged by recourse to a horse's last two
- outings and therefore have been ignored. More on this later.
-
- THE PERSONAL BIT
-
- RACE RATER has been written using the utterly fabulous AMOS (no I haven't
- been paid to say that). I am not a programmer (as anybody reading the listing
- will soon discover), but AMOS has allowed me to adapt this method of rating,
- which I have used for many years, to the computer, thus vastly increasing the
- speed with which I can rate races. Any faults in the way that the program
- behaves (though I have discovered none so far) are my responsibility and not
- the fault of AMOS.
-
- I have slaved long and hard over this program and would appreciate any
- response from the users, see the section on registering. The program is
- released as shareware.
-
- THE PROGRAM
-
- On booting the machine with the program disk you will be presented with the
- option to read this document or run the program. Assuming you have decided
- to read this rather than go straight into the program (if you haven't you
- won't be reading this), here is how the program works.
-
- 1) You will be asked to select the type of race meeting you wish to rate
- horses in. The options being Flat or National Hunt. If there is a mixed
- meeting you must treat them as two separate meetings, 1 Flat and 1 National
- Hunt so select which type of races you want to rate first and select as though
- it was that type of meeting. Selection is easy, just point and click with the
- left mouse button.
-
- 2) Next you will be asked to enter the name of the race meeting, again just
- point and click, if you make a mistake select cancel or continue if you are
- happy.
-
- 3) Next select the time of the race which you are rating, hours first then
- minutes if you make a mistake and click on the wrong hour just click on any
- of the minute buttons and then select cancel to redo the input. Again
- continue if you have made the correct choice.
-
- 4) The next screen allows you to enter the names of the horses that you want
- to rate in the race. Any horse can be rated as long as it finished in the
- first six in either or both of its last two races; previous season included.
- In order that the ratings can be used to best effect I suggest that the
- horses are entered in race card order, with the top weight first.
-
- 5) Having entered all the rateable runners you will presented with the option
- of rating the first horse on the list. Firstly you must enter the weight
- that the horse is set to carry in today's race; this is done from a menu
- (right mouse button and select), always enter the weight without deducting
- any apprentice allowance. You can rate either its last race which is known
- as Race A or its previous race which is known as Race B, these races are
- called assessing races.
-
- If the horse finished in the first 6 in its last race then you should enter
- A, otherwise B. Note that all user input that requires a single key press,
- such as A or B or Y or N does not require the RETURN key to be pressed. If a
- horse finished in the first 6 in Race A, after you have rated Race A you will
- have the opportunity to rate Race B, which you can do if the horse finished
- in the first 6 in Race B.
-
- 6) You will now be asked to enter details of the race being assessed.
- Firstly the value of the assessing race, which is selected from the ranges
- offered by pointing and clicking; note that there are two screens for race
- values and you can switch between the two by selecting the MORE button.
-
- Having selected the value of the assessing race you must now enter the
- finishing position in that race of the horse you are currently rating; this
- is done from a menu; (if a horse was disqualified from a finishing position
- in an assessing race always use the positions that the horses physically
- finished that race rather than the amended positions).
-
- Next you will be asked to enter the distance of the assessing race, this
- again is done from a menu and is in exact furlongs, any race with a number
- of yards in it should be rounded up or down to the nearest exact furlong.
-
- Next you will be asked to enter the weight carried in the assessing race,
- again enter the weight carried ignoring any apprentice allowances. The weight
- as published in the form section of the Sporting Life is the weight actually
- carried so you will have to add back on any apprentice allowance.
-
- Next you must enter the total distance that your horse was beaten by, unless
- of course it won the race. This distance should be input as a decimal, a
- neck being equal to .25 and one and a half lengths being 1.5 etc. Ignore
- distances of a head or short head. So if your horse finished fifth beaten by
- 2L,Nk,Hd and 5L, you would enter 7.25 as the total distance beaten. If your
- horse was beaten by a head or short head enter 0 for the distance.
-
- Next is the request regarding Speed Ratings. If the horse being rated won the
- assessing race then you will be asked if it obtained a Speed Rating, answer
- either Y or N. If the horse being rated did not win the assessing race then
- you will be asked if the winner achieved a Speed Rating, again answer either
- Y or N. Enter the rating achieved either by the horse being rated if it won
- or by the actual winner of the assessing race. Important, if the horse being
- rated did not win the assessing race make sure that you enter the rating of
- the winner not the rating of the horse being rated. If the horse being rated
- did not win the assessing race you will be asked to enter the weight carried
- by the winner, again any apprentice allowances should be added back to the
- weight shown as being carried in the assessing race.
-
- After you have rated a horse, either for Race A or B or both you will be
- shown the Rating(s) for that horse, I suggest that you note the ratings as
- you do them in case of problems, such as the dreaded GURU.
-
- The program will now continue until all the horses have been rated.
-
- THE FINAL RATING SCREEN
-
- A list of all the horses will be shown along with the ratings for races A and
- B (these will be 0 if any race was not assessed), Race A rating is shown
- first. These ratings have not been sorted for the following reason, any horse
- that is top weighted and has a high rating is a strong contender in today's
- race. Its rating has been achieved through its ability and class rather than
- a large drop in weight, conversely any horse at the bottom of the list with a
- high rating should be treated with circumspection as its rating may be due to
- a large drop in weight which usually means a rise in class. That is the
- reason why I suggested that horses to be rated should be entered in race card
- order as it enables the final rating screen to make more sense.
-
- On the final screen you can continue to rate another race (C). BEWARE once
- you have selected continue, the ratings for that race will be lost.
-
- GENERAL INFORMATION
-
- I have tried to make the program as friendly as possible, you can alter any
- piece of information after entry if you make an error, and the only keyboard
- input, apart from answering a question is the input of the Speed Ratings and
- the distance a horse was beaten by, all other input comes from either pointing
- and clicking or selecting from menus.
-
- Treat all ratings for what they are, a numerical attempt to assess the
- relative chance of each horse in the race. There are many other factors
- involved in selecting winners and these are not open to mathematical
- interpretation, that having been said I hope that you will find that a good
- percentage of winners come from the top two rated without further refinement
- and that this percentage increases in relation to the gap between the horses'
- ratings.
-
- FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
-
- I am in the process of producing a version that will allow input of racing
- records weekly from the form book, thus meaning that rating a race will simply
- entail entering today's runners and the weights they are set to carry.
- Hopefully this version will at least allow some indication of distance and
- going requirements to be presented along with final ratings, and also contain
- more accurate Speed figures (the research is going on at the moment for the
- 1992 NH season). The new version will also produce a hard copy if you own a
- printer.
-
- The release of this version will only be made to registered owners of V1.6
- and will not be released in any other form. If you wish to register for
- this future upgrade you may do so by sending £20 to:
-
- M J Thompson
- 41 Nelson Road
- HULL
- North Humberside
- HU5 5HN
-
- All people who register will not only receive all future upgrades free of
- charge, which will include seasonally recalculated speed ratings, but will
- also receive copies of 10 racing systems. These systems had a total market
- value of over £100 when sold separately, so registering is not such a bad
- deal.
-
- Registration is relatively painless and the rewards could be great, don't
- delay do it today.
-
- THE FINAL BIT
-
- Although the program was written in AMOS, the screens were created using
- DPaint II, and thanks go to them for a great art package. Through the medium
- of this program I would like to make a few comments, firstly with regard to
- AMOS, I have read some comments that tend to put the program down for lack of
- speed, all I can say is that from a layman's point of view not only is AMOS
- adequately fast for most applications it should be remembered that it is a
- BASIC and those of us old enough to remember AMIGABasic should be eternally
- grateful for a language that allows speed with ease of programming. Secondly,
- I would like to thank all those programmers who produce such fantastic stuff
- for the AMIGA and then release it as shareware or licenceware, relying on
- people's honesty to pay them if they use their program (this is not another
- plea for you to register with me), if you use a program you should pay for it.
-
- Is there anyone in this area who would like to form an AMIGA club, if so write
- and let me know. Finally thanks to my long suffering wife who has no interest
- in computers but has put up with all my problems in getting this program
- together, and thanks also for making me buy an AMIGA in the first place.
-
- For all of you out there who think it can't be done, my advice is that it can,
- it may not be pretty coding (though I promise to try harder next time) but if
- it works does it matter? Buy AMOS, have a go!
-
- All material in this program is copyright and is distributed as shareware as
- long as this Read Me file is treated as part of the program. Any copying or
- distrubution of the program without this Read Me file, or the copying and
- distribution of registered versions is contrary to the copyright laws of this
- country and constitutes theft.
-
- LONG LIVE THE AMIGA!!!
-
-
- May 13th 1992
-