Day 011 - 12 Jul 94 - Page 28


     
     1
              Now, as far as you know, and I know you are not a
     2        meteorologist, was that an accurate statement of matters
              as they were perceived in those days?
     3        A.   Yes.
 
     4   MR. JUSTICE BELL:  What does 'realisation' mean in that last
              sentence?
     5        A.   It means, my Lord, that the warming might not
              actually occur for several decades because the estimate of
     6        the effect of the heat trapped in the oceans was a big
              unknown in the calculations.
     7
         MR. RAMPTON:  In the September of that year, 1987, there was
     8        signed at Montreal a protocol conventional treaty relating
              to the emission of CFCs into the atmosphere, was there
     9        not?
              A.   Yes, there was.
    10
         Q.   Was the substance known now as HCFC- 22 previously a CFC
    11        22, the subject of that convention?
              A.   No.
    12
         Q.   It was not.  Perhaps we can deal with it this way- do you
    13        have the Modern Plastics International for November 1987-
              two months after the Montreal convention?
    14        A.   I have a copy of part of it, yes.
 
    15   Q.   I wonder if you have pages 6 and 8.  It is one of Mr.
              Lipsett's documents.  He had the American edition.  This
    16        is the international edition.  It is the article headed
               'McDonald's Pullout: CFC Issue Hits Home.'  Can we turn
    17        to page 8 of that article. There is a box at the bottom of
              the left hand column.  "CFC treaty signed.  Delegates of
    18        24 nations signed an agreement on September 16 to limit
              worldwide use of chlorofluorocarbons, materials under
    19        scrutiny as possible agents for ozone depletion.  Meeting
              in Montreal under the auspices of the United Nations
    20        Environment Program, participants agreed that, beginning
              in 1989, they will freeze CFC use at 1986 levels; by 1994
    21        consumption will be reduced by 20 per cent and by 1999,
              consumption is to be cut by 30 per cent more."  That makes
    22        a total cut by 1999 from 1986 levels of 50 per cent, does
              it not?
    23        A.   Yes, it does.
 
    24   MR. JUSTICE BELL:  Perhaps one ought to read on to the end.
 
    25   MR. RAMPTON:  To take effect, the agreement must be ratified by
              at least eleven countries representing two- thirds of the 
    26        global use of CFC."  So, one is talking, by 1999, 
              Professor Duxbury, of 50 per cent of two- thirds of the 
    27        global use, is one not?
              A.   One is.
    28
         Q.   "Developing nations will be permitted to increase CFC
    29        consumption 10 per cent per year to help economic
              development."
    30        A.  That is what it says, yes.
 

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