Day 269 - 25 Jun 96 - Page 64


     
     1
     2   Q.   Sorry?
     3        A.   Yes, yes.  No, that is according to the data that I
     4        was given.
     5
     6   Q.   That was the top whack taken, and then, sorry, you divide
     7        it into 7 and then you took 70 per cent of that?
     8        A.   Yes.
     9
    10   Q.   Because that is the top whack on Ancel Keys' evidence?
    11        A.  That is right.
    12
    13   Q.   For saturated fat?
    14        A.  Yes.
    15
    16   Q.   You then divided that by 3, because the risk factor is 1 in
    17        3?
    18        A.   Yes, that is risk factor for heart attack or stroke.
    19
    20   Q.   Yes correct, and thus you got to a figure of 63,500?
    21        A.  Yes.
    22
    23   Q.   You are not saying are you, or at least I do not perceive
    24        you to be saying, that the contribution of one seventh of a
    25        week's saturated fat will kill 63,500 people within that
    26        1.9 million?
    27        A.   I am not saying that.
    28
    29   Q.   No, I thought you could not?
    30        A.   I am saying that it might contribute very strongly to
    31        their heart attack or their stroke.
    32
    33   Q.   If you were right, that it contributed one seventh of that
    34        saturated fat load?
    35        A.  Surely.
    36
    37   Q.   And by other means they had an excessive saturated fat
    38        load, then you might be near the mark.  If, on the other
    39        hand, the balanced meal contributes nothing like one
    40        seventh of the recommended saturated fat load for the week,
    41        then these figures dwindle to significance; do they not?
    42        A.   Not entirely to insignificance, Mr. Rampton.  I did
    43        take the calculation that, perhaps, they only contributed
    44        to a 14th, which would be half of that.  And I think that
    45        is still a significant number.
    46
    47   Q.   They would be making a fourteenth of a contribution to a 1
    48        in 3 risk?
    49        A.   Yes.
    50
    51   Q.   That is all?
    52        A.   That is all.
    53
    54   Q.   I would like you to look at the table at the back of your
    55        statement please?
    56        A.   Yes.
    57
    58   Q.   And I would like you to have COMA 41 which is the DRV's
    59        book --
    60        A.   Yes.

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